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Photo: shodan
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
SA20 · 2023/24 · Men
1 Feb 2024 · T20
Centurion Park · Venue photographRecorded result
MI Cape Town started on 37%; MI Cape Town batted first.
MI Cape Town's chances ranged from 34% to 100% during the match (Pretoria Capitals: 0% to 66%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Philip Saltcaught · Nealan van Heerden · Sam Curran1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nealan van Heerden · b Sam Curran | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
 Will Jacksbowled · Kagiso Rabada2 fours · 3 sixes | bowled · b Kagiso Rabada | 26 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 288.89 |
| Kyle Verreynnenot out 7 fours · 9 sixes | not out | 116* | 52 | 7 | 9 | 223.08 |
 Rilee Rossouwbowled · Nuwan Thushara0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nuwan Thushara | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Colin Ackermannbowled · Nuwan Thushara0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nuwan Thushara | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Theunis de Bruyncaught · Kieron Pollard · Kagiso Rabada 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kieron Pollard · b Kagiso Rabada | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 57.14 |
|---|
| S Dadswellbowled · Nuwan Thushara 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nuwan Thushara | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Wayne Parnellcaught · Kagiso Rabada · Kieron Pollard3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kagiso Rabada · b Kieron Pollard | 23 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 92.00 |
|---|
| Eathan Boschbowled · Nealan van Heerden 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nealan van Heerden | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Adil Rashidnot out4 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 21* | 14 | 4 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 5 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Linde0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 23.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Sam Curran0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 42 | 1 | 10.50 | 2 | 0 |
 Kagiso Rabada0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 2 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Nuwan Thushara0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 3 | 9.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Thomas Kaber0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 25.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Nealan van Heerden0 maidens · 2 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 9.00 | 2 | 2 |
 Kieron Pollard0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-27 (Philip Salt, 1.3) · 2-33 (Will Jacks, 2.4) · 3-34 (Rilee Rossouw, 3.2) · 4-34 (Colin Ackermann, 3.3) · 5-41 (Theunis de Bruyn, 5.0) · 6-42 (S Dadswell, 5.4) · 7-120 (Wayne Parnell, 13.1) · 8-129 (Eathan Bosch, 14.3)
Recorded target: 249 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 23/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 29/1 |
| 3 | 4 | 33/2 |
| 4 | 1 | 34/4 |
| 5 | 7 | 41/5 |
| 6 | 5 | 46/6 |
| 7 | 7 | 53/6 |
| 8 | 8 | 61/6 |
| 9 | 25 | 86/6 |
| 10 | 9 | 95/6 |
| 11 | 9 | 104/6 |
| 12 | 6 | 110/6 |
| 13 | 10 | 120/6 |
| 14 | 7 | 127/7 |
| 15 | 2 | 129/8 |
| 16 | 7 | 136/8 |
| 17 | 15 | 151/8 |
| 18 | 23 | 174/8 |
| 19 | 18 | 192/8 |
| 20 | 22 | 214/8 |
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rilee Rossouw: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Wayne Parnell: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Will Jacks: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kieron Pollard: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Philip Salt: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adil Rashid: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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