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ACC Men's Premier Cup · 2024 · Men
13 Apr 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 45%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 43% to 100% during the match (Bahrain: 0% to 57%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Alishan Sharafucaught · Ali Dawood · Abdul Majeed10 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Ali Dawood · b Abdul Majeed | 78 | 41 | 10 | 4 | 190.24 |
| Waseem Muhammadcaught · Abdul Majeed · Rizwan Butt 4 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Abdul Majeed · b Rizwan Butt | 65 | 40 | 4 | 4 | 162.50 |
| Asif Khanlbw · Imran Anwar 1 fours · 8 sixes | lbw · b Imran Anwar | 66 | 27 | 1 | 8 | 244.44 |
| Syed Haidernot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 13* | 9 | 1 | 0 | 144.44 |
| Basil Hameedlbw · Imran Anwar 0 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Imran Anwar | 6 | 2 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 300.00 |
| Ali Naseerrun out · Imran Ali Butt, Ahmer Bin Nasir · Imran Anwar 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Imran Ali Butt, Ahmer Bin Nasir | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Vishnu Sukumaranbowled · Imran Anwar 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Imran Anwar | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rizwan Butt0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 9.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Ali Dawood0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 54 | 0 | 13.50 | 1 | 0 |
| S Veerapathiran0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 19.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Sarfaraz Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Abdul Majeed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Imran Anwar0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 40 | 3 | 13.33 | 1 | 1 |
| Haider Butt0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 17.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-142 (Alishan Sharafu, 12.2) · 2-178 (Waseem Muhammad, 15.4) · 3-229 (Asif Khan, 19.2) · 4-235 (Basil Hameed, 19.4) · 5-236 (Ali Naseer, 19.5) · 6-236 (Vishnu Sukumaran, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 12 | 16/0 |
| 3 | 17 | 33/0 |
| 4 | 8 | 41/0 |
| 5 | 14 | 55/0 |
| 6 | 12 | 67/0 |
| 7 | 8 | 75/0 |
| 8 | 14 | 89/0 |
| 9 | 9 | 98/0 |
| 10 | 13 | 111/0 |
| 11 | 13 | 124/0 |
| 12 | 17 | 141/0 |
| 13 | 1 | 142/1 |
| 14 | 7 | 149/1 |
| 15 | 25 | 174/1 |
| 16 | 6 | 180/2 |
| 17 | 15 | 195/2 |
| 18 | 9 | 204/2 |
| 19 | 19 | 223/2 |
| 20 | 13 | 236/6 |
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
