OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2025/26 · Men
5 Nov 2025 · ODI
Recorded result
Nepal more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Nepal started on 54%; Nepal batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Alishan Sharafucaught · Rohit Kumar · Nandan Yadav2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Rohit Kumar · b Nandan Yadav | 18 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 75.00 |
| Aryansh Sharmacaught · Aasif Sheikh · Karan KC 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aasif Sheikh · b Karan KC | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Muhammad Shahdadcaught · Aasif Sheikh · Karan KC 6 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Aasif Sheikh · b Karan KC | 96 | 123 | 6 | 3 | 78.05 |
| Sohaib Khanlbw · Lalit Rajbanshi 3 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Lalit Rajbanshi | 29 | 52 | 3 | 0 | 55.77 |
| Waseem Muhammadbowled · Sandeep Lamichhane 4 fours · 3 sixes |
Nepal's chances ranged from 0% to 71% during the match (United Arab Emirates: 29% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| bowled · b Sandeep Lamichhane |
| 76 |
| 73 |
| 4 |
| 3 |
| 104.11 |
| H Kaushikcaught · Aasif Sheikh · Karan KC 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Aasif Sheikh · b Karan KC | 13 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 76.47 |
|---|
| D Parasharnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Zahid Alinot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 2 | 1 | 0 | 250.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Karan KC0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 58 | 3 | 5.80 | 0 | 0 |
| Nandan Yadav0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 50 | 1 | 5.56 | 4 | 0 |
| Lalit Rajbanshi1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 48 | 1 | 4.80 | 0 | 0 |
 Sandeep Lamichhane2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 2 | 35 | 1 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Dipendra Singh Airee0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Kushal Bhurtel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Kushal Malla0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.1 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 5.05 | 0 | 0 |
1-5 (Aryansh Sharma, 1.0) · 2-28 (Alishan Sharafu, 6.5) · 3-68 (Sohaib Khan, 20.2) · 4-215 (Waseem Muhammad, 43.4) · 5-233 (Muhammad Shahdad, 47.0) · 6-238 (H Kaushik, 48.5)
Recorded target: 240 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 2 | 6 | 11/1 |
| 3 | 11 | 22/1 |
| 4 | 0 | 22/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 26/1 |
| 6 | 2 | 28/1 |
| 7 | 1 | 29/2 |
| 8 | 1 | 30/2 |
| 9 | 8 | 38/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 42/2 |
| 11 | 0 | 42/2 |
| 12 | 3 | 45/2 |
| 13 | 0 | 45/2 |
| 14 | 2 | 47/2 |
| 15 | 4 | 51/2 |
| 16 | 5 | 56/2 |
| 17 | 3 | 59/2 |
| 18 | 4 | 63/2 |
| 19 | 2 | 65/2 |
| 20 | 3 | 68/2 |
| 21 | 2 | 70/3 |
| 22 | 3 | 73/3 |
| 23 | 7 | 80/3 |
| 24 | 2 | 82/3 |
| 25 | 2 | 84/3 |
| 26 | 12 | 96/3 |
| 27 | 3 | 99/3 |
| 28 | 7 | 106/3 |
| 29 | 10 | 116/3 |
| 30 | 4 | 120/3 |
| 31 | 4 | 124/3 |
| 32 | 5 | 129/3 |
| 33 | 8 | 137/3 |
| 34 | 3 | 140/3 |
| 35 | 8 | 148/3 |
| 36 | 6 | 154/3 |
| 37 | 3 | 157/3 |
| 38 | 7 | 164/3 |
| 39 | 15 | 179/3 |
| 40 | 7 | 186/3 |
| 41 | 11 | 197/3 |
| 42 | 9 | 206/3 |
| 43 | 8 | 214/3 |
| 44 | 1 | 215/4 |
| 45 | 13 | 228/4 |
| 46 | 2 | 230/4 |
| 47 | 3 | 233/5 |
| 48 | 3 | 236/5 |
| 49 | 3 | 239/6 |
| 50 | 4 | 243/6 |
Sandeep Lamichhane: Deshsanchar · CC BY 3.0
Rohit Kumar: Cricnepal · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kushal Bhurtel: Kushal Bhurtel · CC BY-SA 4.0
Karan KC: Helloworld3377 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dipendra Singh Airee: Dipendra Singh Airee · CC BY-SA 4.0
Aarif Sheikh: Nepalese Diaspora · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kushal Malla: Hamro Khelkud · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
