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Photo: RIDHVAN SHARMA
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Papua New Guinea Women tour of Zimbabwe · 2023/24 · Women
26 Mar 2024 · ODI
Harare Sports Club · Venue photographRecorded result
Papua New Guinea more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Papua New Guinea started on 54%; Papua New Guinea batted first.
Papua New Guinea's chances ranged from 1% to 63% during the match (Zimbabwe: 37% to 99%).
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelis Ndhlovulbw · Sibona Jimmy 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Sibona Jimmy | 8 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 44.44 |
| Modester Mupachikwanot out 5 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 57* | 107 | 5 | 0 | 53.27 |
| Pellagia Mujajilbw · HJ Thomas 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b HJ Thomas | 5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 45.45 |
| Mary-Anne Musondabowled · Vicky Araa 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Vicky Araa | 19 | 36 | 1 | 0 | 52.78 |
| Josephine Nkomocaught · Melanie Ani · Vicky Araa 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Melanie Ani · b Vicky Araa | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Chiedza Dhururu |
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| bowled · b Vicky Araa |
| 0 |
| 13 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Nyasha Gwanzuracaught · Pauke Siaka · Vicky Araa 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Pauke Siaka · b Vicky Araa | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Loryn Phiribowled · HJ Thomas 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b HJ Thomas | 12 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 27.91 |
|---|
| Francisca Chiparebowled · HJ Thomas 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b HJ Thomas | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| L Mabheronot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 15 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V Buruka0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 2.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Geua Tom0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 4.50 | 0 | 1 |
| Sibona Jimmy2 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 2 | 35 | 1 | 3.50 | 4 | 0 |
| HJ Thomas0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.3 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 3.53 | 5 | 0 |
| Isabel Toua2 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 2.10 | 3 | 0 |
| Vicky Araa2 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 9.0 | 2 | 19 | 4 | 2.11 | 2 | 1 |
1-21 (Kelis Ndhlovu, 6.0) · 2-32 (Pellagia Mujaji, 8.5) · 3-66 (Mary-Anne Musonda, 19.5) · 4-73 (Josephine Nkomo, 24.0) · 5-78 (Chiedza Dhururu, 27.3) · 6-78 (Nyasha Gwanzura, 27.5) · 7-112 (Loryn Phiri, 38.3) · 8-121 (Francisca Chipare, 41.0)
Recorded target: 126 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 15/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 19/0 |
| 5 | 2 | 21/0 |
| 6 | 0 | 21/1 |
| 7 | 6 | 27/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 31/1 |
| 9 | 1 | 32/2 |
| 10 | 0 | 32/2 |
| 11 | 7 | 39/2 |
| 12 | 5 | 44/2 |
| 13 | 1 | 45/2 |
| 14 | 6 | 51/2 |
| 15 | 2 | 53/2 |
| 16 | 1 | 54/2 |
| 17 | 3 | 57/2 |
| 18 | 3 | 60/2 |
| 19 | 4 | 64/2 |
| 20 | 2 | 66/3 |
| 21 | 2 | 68/3 |
| 22 | 0 | 68/3 |
| 23 | 5 | 73/3 |
| 24 | 0 | 73/4 |
| 25 | 1 | 74/4 |
| 26 | 2 | 76/4 |
| 27 | 0 | 76/4 |
| 28 | 4 | 80/6 |
| 29 | 0 | 80/6 |
| 30 | 3 | 83/6 |
| 31 | 3 | 86/6 |
| 32 | 4 | 90/6 |
| 33 | 3 | 93/6 |
| 34 | 5 | 98/6 |
| 35 | 1 | 99/6 |
| 36 | 3 | 102/6 |
| 37 | 4 | 106/6 |
| 38 | 4 | 110/6 |
| 39 | 3 | 113/7 |
| 40 | 6 | 119/7 |
| 41 | 2 | 121/8 |
| 42 | 2 | 123/8 |
| 43 | 3 | 126/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.