South AfricaversusPakistan

22 Feb 2026 · ODI

Mangaung Oval, Bloemfontein · Venue photograph

Recorded result

South Africa won by 37 runs

South Africa41.0 overs260/6 Pakistan38.5 overs223/10 Mangaung Oval, Bloemfontein ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

South Africa more likely to win

83%South Africa17%Pakistan

Why

On results in ODIs so far, South Africa rate stronger than Pakistan (1,613 vs 1,403 on our results rating)
South Africa are playing at home in South Africa
In the last 10 ODIs between these sides, South Africa won 8 and Pakistan won 2

Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.