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Netherlands Tri-Nation T20I Series · 2024 · Men
26 Aug 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Netherlands more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Canada started on 19%; Canada batted first.
Canada's chances ranged from 2% to 99% during the match (Netherlands: 1% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Levittbowled · Parveen Kumar (2) 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Parveen Kumar (2) | 13 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 65.00 |
| Max O'Dowdbowled · Dillon Heyliger 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Dillon Heyliger | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Vikramjit Singhrun out · Nicholas Kirton, Parveen Kumar (2) · Parveen Kumar (2) 3 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Nicholas Kirton, Parveen Kumar (2) | 22 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 115.79 |
| Scott Edwardsbowled · Saad Bin Zafar 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Saad Bin Zafar | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
0 fours · 0 sixes |
| 13 |
| 20 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 65.00 |
| Noah Croesrun out · Nicholas Kirton, Shreyas Movva · Dillon Heyliger 2 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Nicholas Kirton, Shreyas Movva | 32 | 28 | 2 | 1 | 114.29 |
|---|
| Ryan Kleinbowled · Kaleem Sana 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kaleem Sana | 22 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Kyle Kleinbowled · Kaleem Sana 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kaleem Sana | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Paul van Meekerennot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Brandon Glovernot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 1 | 1 | 0 | 400.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 9 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaleem Sana0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Dillon Heyliger0 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 12.00 | 7 | 0 |
| Akhil Kumar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Parveen Kumar (2)1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 2.50 | 1 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 3.75 | 1 | 0 | |
| Harsh Thaker0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-8 (Max O'Dowd, 1.2) · 2-44 (Vikramjit Singh, 6.3) · 3-44 (Michael Levitt, 6.5) · 4-44 (Scott Edwards, 7.3) · 5-65 (Zach Lion-Cachet, 12.3) · 6-102 (Ryan Klein, 18.1) · 7-106 (Kyle Klein, 19.0) · 8-119 (Noah Croes, 19.4)
Recorded target: 133 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 9/1 |
| 3 | 7 | 16/1 |
| 4 | 11 | 27/1 |
| 5 | 12 | 39/1 |
| 6 | 5 | 44/1 |
| 7 | 0 | 44/3 |
| 8 | 0 | 44/4 |
| 9 | 3 | 47/4 |
| 10 | 7 | 54/4 |
| 11 | 4 | 58/4 |
| 12 | 5 | 63/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 67/5 |
| 14 | 3 | 70/5 |
| 15 | 5 | 75/5 |
| 16 | 7 | 82/5 |
| 17 | 9 | 91/5 |
| 18 | 11 | 102/5 |
| 19 | 4 | 106/7 |
| 20 | 18 | 124/8 |
Saad Bin Zafar: Apnagm · CC BY-SA 4.0
Zach Lion-Cachet: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.