Sunrisers HyderabadversusPunjab Kings

6 May 2026 · T20

Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Sunrisers Hyderabad won by 33 runs

Sunrisers Hyderabad20.0 overs235/4 Punjab Kings20.0 overs202/7 Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Sunrisers Hyderabad started on 47%; Sunrisers Hyderabad batted first.

Sunrisers Hyderabad’s chance of winning (%) · Punjab Kings is the rest

Sunrisers Hyderabad's chances ranged from 47% to 100% during the match (Punjab Kings: 0% to 53%).

Biggest swings

3.3: LH Ferguson to Abhishek Sharma, Abhishek Sharma out. Punjab Kings up from 21% to 30%.
19.6: Vijaykumar Vyshak to H Klaasen, H Klaasen out. Punjab Kings up from 13% to 20%.
2nd inns 0.6: PJ Cummins to Priyansh Arya, Priyansh Arya out. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 81% to 87%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Sunrisers Hyderabad235/4 Punjab Kings202/7

Innings 1