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Photo: The original uploader was PaddyBriggs at English Wikipedia.
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
SA20 · 2024/25 · Men
4 Feb 2025 · T20
St George's Park, Gqeberha · Venue photographRecorded result
MI Cape Town started on 48%; MI Cape Town batted first.
MI Cape Town's chances ranged from 45% to 100% during the match (Paarl Royals: 0% to 55%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
On 4 Feb 2025, MI Cape Town played Paarl Royals at St George's Park, Gqeberha. Recorded result: MI Cape Town won by 39 runs.
Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.