Czech RepublicversusAustria

28 Aug 2026 · T20

Recorded result

Austria won by 5 wickets

Czech Republic19.2 overs73/10 Austria16.4 overs74/5 Moara Vlasiei Cricket Ground, Ilfov County ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

Austria more likely to win

38%Czech Republic62%Austria

Why

On results in T20 internationals so far, Austria rate stronger than Czech Republic (1,355 vs 1,312 on our results rating)
In the last 1 T20 internationals between these sides, Austria won 1 and Czech Republic won 0

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Czech Republic started on 36%; Czech Republic batted first.

Czech Republic’s chance of winning (%) · Austria is the rest

Czech Republic's chances ranged from 0% to 37% during the match (Austria: 63% to 100%).

Biggest swings

0.1: MPM Pathirannehelage to K Tesarikova, K Tesarikova out. Austria up from 63% to 71%.
5.3: AM Zepeda to Farwa Baber, Farwa Baber out. Austria up from 76% to 83%.
6.6: P Sabu to R Pavlickova, R Pavlickova out. Austria up from 81% to 89%.

Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Czech Republic73/10 Austria74/5

Innings 1

Czech Republic

73/1019.2 overs

Batting, bowling & fall of wickets

Czech Republic batting
Batter	Dismissal	R	B	4s	6s	SR
K Tesarikovabowled · MPM Pathirannehelage 0 fours · 0 sixes	bowled · b MPM Pathirannehelage	0	1	0	0	0.00
E Kuncovabowled · MPM Pathirannehelage 0 fours · 0 sixes	bowled · b MPM Pathirannehelage	0	3	0	0	0.00
R Pavlickovacaught and bowled · P Sabu 0 fours · 0 sixes	caught and bowled · b P Sabu	8	11	0	0	72.73
S Talamarlacaught and bowled · P Sabu 0 fours · 0 sixes	caught and bowled · b P Sabu	6	17	0	0	35.29
Farwa Baberbowled · Andrea-Mae Zepeda 1 fours · 0 sixes	bowled · b Andrea-Mae Zepeda	4	2	1	0	200.00

Bowler	Overs	R	W	Runs / 6 balls	WD
MPM Pathirannehelage0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	9	2	2.25	2
Komati Reddy0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	22	1	5.50	6
P Sabu0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	12	2	3.00	0
Andrea-Mae Zepeda0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	10	2	2.50	3
Sheetal Bhardwaj0 maidens · 10 wides · 0 no-balls	3.2	19	2	5.70	10

Over / set	Runs	Score
1	2	2/2
2	4	6/2
3	1	7/2
4	5	12/2
5	6	18/3
6	3	21/4
7	3	24/5
8	1	25/5
9	2	27/5
10	1	28/6
11	8	36/6
12	5	41/6
13	2	43/6
14	8	51/7
15	10	61/7
16	2	63/7
17	4	67/7
18	3	70/8
19	2	72/8
20	1	73/10

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