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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Asia Qualifier A · 2026/27 · Men
14 Oct 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Bahrain more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bahrain started on 52%; Bahrain batted first.
Bahrain's chances ranged from 14% to 75% during the match (Qatar: 25% to 86%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zubair Alicaught · Asif Ali · Ali Dawood 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Asif Ali · b Ali Dawood | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 200.00 |
| Zeeshan Haiderrun out · P Kurup, Imran Anwar · Asif Javed 4 fours · 0 sixes | run out · P Kurup, Imran Anwar | 32 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 103.23 |
| Imal Liyanagecaught and bowled · Shujaat Rasool 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Shujaat Rasool | 17 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 62.96 |
| Mirza Mohammed Baigcaught · Asif Ali · Abdul Majeed 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Asif Ali · b Abdul Majeed | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Muhammad Asimcaught · Imran Anwar · Ali Dawood 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Imran Anwar · b Ali Dawood | 21 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 87.50 |
| run out · P Kurup, Ahmer Bin Nasir |
| 4 |
| 7 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 57.14 |
| Shariq Munircaught · Junaid Aziz · Abdul Majeed 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Junaid Aziz · b Abdul Majeed | 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 260.00 |
|---|
| Daniel Louisbowled · Imran Khan (5) 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Imran Khan (5) | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Ikramullah Khannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 9 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Mujeeb Ur Rehmannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali Dawood0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 0 | 1 |
| Imran Khan (5)0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Abdul Majeed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 2.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Asif Javed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 3.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Asif Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Shujaat Rasool0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-23 (Zubair Ali, 2.1) · 2-56 (Mirza Mohammed Baig, 9.4) · 3-58 (Zeeshan Haider, 10.3) · 4-74 (Shahzaib Jamil, 13.2) · 5-89 (Shariq Munir, 15.0) · 6-100 (Daniel Louis, 16.5) · 7-104 (Muhammad Asim, 17.4) · 8-119 (Imal Liyanage, 19.5)
Recorded target: 120 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 23/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 25/1 |
| 4 | 11 | 36/1 |
| 5 | 6 | 42/1 |
| 6 | 1 | 43/1 |
| 7 | 3 | 46/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 50/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 54/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 56/2 |
| 11 | 4 | 60/3 |
| 12 | 12 | 72/3 |
| 13 | 2 | 74/3 |
| 14 | 12 | 86/4 |
| 15 | 3 | 89/5 |
| 16 | 6 | 95/5 |
| 17 | 6 | 101/6 |
| 18 | 5 | 106/7 |
| 19 | 4 | 110/7 |
| 20 | 10 | 120/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.