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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier · 2024 · Men
14 Jul 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Jersey more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Norway started on 41%; Norway batted first.
Norway's chances ranged from 0% to 47% during the match (Jersey: 53% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Carlyoncaught · Walid Ghauri · Vinay Ravi 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Walid Ghauri · b Vinay Ravi | 20 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 250.00 |
| Nick Greenwoodcaught · Javed Maroofkhail · Vinay Ravi 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Javed Maroofkhail · b Vinay Ravi | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Asa Tribenot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 23* | 15 | 3 | 0 | 153.33 |
| Jonty Jennercaught · Mandeep Singh (2) · Vinay Ravi 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mandeep Singh (2) · b Vinay Ravi | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Zak Tribecaught · Qamar Mushtaque · Vinay Ravi 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Qamar Mushtaque · b Vinay Ravi | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 128.57 |
| not out |
| 17* |
| 10 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 170.00 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinay Ravi0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 4 | 7.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Sher Sahak0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 17.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Qamar Mushtaque0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| AJ Parmar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.1 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 14.57 | 0 | 0 |
1-9 (Nick Greenwood, 0.5) · 2-26 (Harrison Carlyon, 2.1) · 3-27 (Jonty Jenner, 2.2) · 4-41 (Zak Tribe, 4.2)
Recorded target: 70 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/1 |
| 2 | 17 | 26/1 |
| 3 | 9 | 35/3 |
| 4 | 6 | 41/3 |
| 5 | 4 | 45/4 |
| 6 | 13 | 58/4 |
| 7 | 9 | 67/4 |
| 8 | 4 | 71/4 |
Khizer Ahmed: Khizer22 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
