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Photo: Marc Dalmulder from Hamlyn Terrace, Australia
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India tour of Australia · 2024/25 · Men
3 Jan 2025 · Test
Sydney Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Yashasvi Jaiswalbowled · Scott Boland4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Scott Boland | 22 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 62.86 |
 KL Rahulbowled · Scott Boland2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Scott Boland | 13 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 65.00 |
 Shubman Gillcaught · Alex Carey · Beau Webster2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alex Carey · b Beau Webster | 13 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 86.67 |
 |
| caught · Steve Smith · b Scott Boland |
| 6 |
| 12 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
 Rishabh Pantcaught · Alex Carey · Pat Cummins6 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Alex Carey · b Pat Cummins | 61 | 33 | 6 | 4 | 184.85 |
|---|
 Ravindra Jadejacaught · Alex Carey · Pat Cummins2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alex Carey · b Pat Cummins | 13 | 45 | 2 | 0 | 28.89 |
|---|
 Nitish Kumar Reddycaught · Pat Cummins · Scott Boland0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Pat Cummins · b Scott Boland | 4 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 19.05 |
|---|
 Washington Sundarbowled · Pat Cummins1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Pat Cummins | 12 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 27.91 |
|---|
 Mohammed Sirajcaught · Usman Khawaja · Scott Boland0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Usman Khawaja · b Scott Boland | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 36.36 |
|---|
 Jasprit Bumrahbowled · Scott Boland0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Scott Boland | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Prasidh Krishnanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitchell Starc0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Pat Cummins4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 15.0 | 4 | 44 | 3 | 2.93 | 0 | 0 |
 Scott Boland5 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 16.5 | 5 | 45 | 6 | 2.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Beau Webster1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-42 (KL Rahul, 7.3) · 2-47 (Yashasvi Jaiswal, 9.5) · 3-59 (Virat Kohli, 13.1) · 4-78 (Shubman Gill, 15.2) · 5-124 (Rishabh Pant, 22.2) · 6-129 (Nitish Kumar Reddy, 27.3) · 7-147 (Ravindra Jadeja, 34.4) · 8-156 (Washington Sundar, 38.4) · 9-156 (Mohammed Siraj, 39.3) · 10-157 (Jasprit Bumrah, 39.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 16/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 16/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 17/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 22/0 |
| 5 | 11 | 33/0 |
| 6 | 3 | 36/0 |
| 7 | 3 | 39/0 |
| 8 | 7 | 46/1 |
| 9 | 0 | 46/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 48/2 |
| 11 | 0 | 48/2 |
| 12 | 7 | 55/2 |
| 13 | 4 | 59/2 |
| 14 | 9 | 68/3 |
| 15 | 10 | 78/3 |
| 16 | 0 | 78/4 |
| 17 | 7 | 85/4 |
| 18 | 12 | 97/4 |
| 19 | 0 | 97/4 |
| 20 | 11 | 108/4 |
| 21 | 3 | 111/4 |
| 22 | 13 | 124/4 |
| 23 | 1 | 125/5 |
| 24 | 1 | 126/5 |
| 25 | 2 | 128/5 |
| 26 | 0 | 128/5 |
| 27 | 1 | 129/5 |
| 28 | 1 | 130/6 |
| 29 | 7 | 137/6 |
| 30 | 0 | 137/6 |
| 31 | 1 | 138/6 |
| 32 | 3 | 141/6 |
| 33 | 2 | 143/6 |
| 34 | 0 | 143/6 |
| 35 | 5 | 148/7 |
| 36 | 2 | 150/7 |
| 37 | 5 | 155/7 |
| 38 | 0 | 155/7 |
| 39 | 1 | 156/8 |
| 40 | 1 | 157/10 |
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jasprit Bumrah: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Washington Sundar: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Marnus Labuschagne: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Nitish Kumar Reddy: WikiWanderer261 · CC0
Usman Khawaja: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Nathan Lyon: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Konstas: WikiWanderer261 · CC0
Rishabh Pant: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Travis Head: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Steve Smith: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Pat Cummins: SirWellsy99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Scott Boland: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mitchell Starc: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Virat Kohli: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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