OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Photo: RIDHVAN SHARMA
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Sri Lanka tour of Zimbabwe · 2025 · Men
31 Aug 2025 · ODI
Harare Sports Club · Venue photographRecorded result
Sri Lanka more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Zimbabwe started on 25%; Zimbabwe batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pathum Nissankacaught · W Madhevere · Richard Ngarava 16 fours · 0 sixes | caught · W Madhevere · b Richard Ngarava | 122 | 136 | 16 | 0 | 89.71 |
| Nuwanidu Fernandobowled · Brad Evans 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Brad Evans | 14 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 51.85 |
| Kusal Mendiscaught · Ben Curran · Brad Evans 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Curran · b Brad Evans | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Sadeera Samarawickramacaught · Sikandar Raza · Ernest Masuku 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sikandar Raza · b Ernest Masuku | 31 | 46 | 2 | 0 | 67.39 |
| Charith Asalankacaught · Brian Bennett · Richard Ngarava 7 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Brian Bennett · b Richard Ngarava | 71 | 61 | 7 | 0 | 116.39 |
Zimbabwe's chances ranged from 3% to 47% during the match (Sri Lanka: 53% to 97%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
 Janith Liyanagenot out2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 19* | 16 | 2 | 0 | 118.75 |
|---|
| Kamindu Mendisnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 2 | 1 | 0 | 250.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 6 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Ngarava0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 53 | 2 | 5.89 | 3 | 0 |
| Blessing Muzarabani0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.3 | 0 | 54 | 0 | 6.35 | 0 | 0 |
| Brad Evans0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 54 | 2 | 5.40 | 1 | 1 |
| Ernest Masuku0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 6.40 | 0 | 0 |
 Sikandar Raza0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 5.11 | 2 | 0 |
 Sean Williams0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 4.38 | 0 | 0 |
1-48 (Nuwanidu Fernando, 10.4) · 2-68 (Kusal Mendis, 14.2) · 3-146 (Sadeera Samarawickrama, 30.1) · 4-236 (Pathum Nissanka, 44.3) · 5-272 (Charith Asalanka, 48.5)
Recorded target: 278 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 5/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 8/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 9/0 |
| 5 | 9 | 18/0 |
| 6 | 2 | 20/0 |
| 7 | 8 | 28/0 |
| 8 | 4 | 32/0 |
| 9 | 4 | 36/0 |
| 10 | 9 | 45/0 |
| 11 | 3 | 48/1 |
| 12 | 8 | 56/1 |
| 13 | 4 | 60/1 |
| 14 | 8 | 68/1 |
| 15 | 3 | 71/2 |
| 16 | 1 | 72/2 |
| 17 | 7 | 79/2 |
| 18 | 5 | 84/2 |
| 19 | 2 | 86/2 |
| 20 | 4 | 90/2 |
| 21 | 3 | 93/2 |
| 22 | 8 | 101/2 |
| 23 | 10 | 111/2 |
| 24 | 3 | 114/2 |
| 25 | 8 | 122/2 |
| 26 | 4 | 126/2 |
| 27 | 3 | 129/2 |
| 28 | 5 | 134/2 |
| 29 | 6 | 140/2 |
| 30 | 6 | 146/2 |
| 31 | 2 | 148/3 |
| 32 | 5 | 153/3 |
| 33 | 6 | 159/3 |
| 34 | 4 | 163/3 |
| 35 | 7 | 170/3 |
| 36 | 5 | 175/3 |
| 37 | 3 | 178/3 |
| 38 | 6 | 184/3 |
| 39 | 11 | 195/3 |
| 40 | 16 | 211/3 |
| 41 | 5 | 216/3 |
| 42 | 5 | 221/3 |
| 43 | 7 | 228/3 |
| 44 | 7 | 235/3 |
| 45 | 3 | 238/4 |
| 46 | 10 | 248/4 |
| 47 | 8 | 256/4 |
| 48 | 10 | 266/4 |
| 49 | 10 | 276/5 |
| 50 | 2 | 278/5 |
Clive Madande: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Brendan Taylor: The Madras · CC BY-SA 3.0
Janith Liyanage: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sikandar Raza: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sean Williams: Larry D. Moore · CC BY 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
.jpg){kind=link}
