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Photo: Mtaylor848
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
13 Jun 2025 · T20
Headingley · Venue photographRecorded result
Birmingham Bears started on 53%; Birmingham Bears batted first.
Birmingham Bears's chances ranged from 40% to 100% during the match (Yorkshire: 0% to 60%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 William Luxtoncaught · Moeen Ali · Hasan Ali3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Moeen Ali · b Hasan Ali | 19 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 237.50 |
 Dawid Malancaught · Hasan Ali · Danny Briggs5 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Hasan Ali · b Danny Briggs | 65 | 34 | 5 | 4 | 191.18 |
 Adam Lythbowled · Moeen Ali2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Moeen Ali | 13 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 76.47 |
| James Whartoncaught · George Garton · Hasan Ali 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · George Garton · b Hasan Ali | 37 | 32 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 115.63 |
 Will Sutherlandcaught · Sam Hain · Dan Mousley1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Sam Hain · b Dan Mousley | 20 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 142.86 |
|---|
 George Hillnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 11 | 0 | 0 | 63.64 |
|---|
 Matt Revisnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Garton0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Hasan Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 2 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Dan Mousley0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Danny Briggs0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 1 | 10.75 | 2 | 0 |
 Moeen Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 8.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Ed Barnard0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Jacob Lintott0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-21 (William Luxton, 1.4) · 2-66 (Adam Lyth, 7.2) · 3-121 (Dawid Malan, 12.5) · 4-153 (Will Sutherland, 16.2) · 5-166 (James Wharton, 18.5)
Recorded target: 206 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 21/1 |
| 3 | 4 | 25/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 34/1 |
| 5 | 15 | 49/1 |
| 6 | 7 | 56/1 |
| 7 | 10 | 66/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 69/2 |
| 9 | 7 | 76/2 |
| 10 | 5 | 81/2 |
| 11 | 15 | 96/2 |
| 12 | 18 | 114/2 |
| 13 | 8 | 122/3 |
| 14 | 8 | 130/3 |
| 15 | 11 | 141/3 |
| 16 | 11 | 152/3 |
| 17 | 7 | 159/4 |
| 18 | 6 | 165/4 |
| 19 | 2 | 167/5 |
| 20 | 6 | 173/5 |
William Luxton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Sutherland: @evermorestation on Twitter · CC BY-SA 4.0
George Hill: Dave Morton · Public domain
Dawid Malan: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Matt Revis: Dave Morton · Public domain
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Adam Lyth: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Moeen Ali: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Dominic Bess: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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