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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Asia Qualifier B · 2026/27 · Men
14 Oct 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Saudi Arabia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Saudi Arabia started on 87%; Saudi Arabia batted first.
Saudi Arabia's chances ranged from 86% to 100% during the match (Maldives: 0% to 14%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Azyan Farhathcaught · Abdul Waheed · Zain Ul Abidin 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Abdul Waheed · b Zain Ul Abidin | 18 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 105.88 |
| Mohamed Rishwancaught and bowled · Zain Ul Abidin 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Zain Ul Abidin | 11 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 35.48 |
| Ismail Alilbw · Zain Ul Abidin 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Zain Ul Abidin | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 71.43 |
| Ashan Yapanot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 15* | 20 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
| Sheraz Iqbalcaught · Zain Ul Abidin · Muhammad Atif 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zain Ul Abidin · b Muhammad Atif | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 88.89 |
| caught · Abdul Waheed · b Muhammad Atif |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Umar Adambowled · Abdul Wahid 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Abdul Wahid | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Shafraz Jaleellbw · Abdul Wahid 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Abdul Wahid | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Ibrahim Rizanbowled · Muhammad Atif 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Muhammad Atif | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Harsha Amarasinghestumped · Sidharth Sankar · Muhammad Atif 1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Sidharth Sankar · b Muhammad Atif | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 88.89 |
|---|
| Nazwan Ismailbowled · Muhammad Saqib 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Muhammad Saqib | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ishtiaq Ahmad0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Muhammad Saqib0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.1 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 10.29 | 0 | 0 |
| Usman Khalid0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Zain Ul Abidin0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 2.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Hisham Sheikh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Muhammad Atif0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 3.67 | 2 | 0 |
| Abdul Wahid0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 4.50 | 1 | 0 |
1-24 (Azyan Farhath, 6.1) · 2-32 (Ismail Ali, 8.1) · 3-39 (Mohamed Rishwan, 10.5) · 4-54 (Sheraz Iqbal, 12.5) · 5-54 (Hassan Rasheed, 13.0) · 6-56 (Umar Adam, 13.5) · 7-56 (Shafraz Jaleel, 14.0) · 8-57 (Ibrahim Rizan, 14.2) · 9-68 (Harsha Amarasinghe, 16.2) · 10-69 (Nazwan Ismail, 17.1)
Recorded target: 195 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 12 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 17/0 |
| 4 | 3 | 20/0 |
| 5 | 2 | 22/0 |
| 6 | 2 | 24/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 28/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 32/1 |
| 9 | 1 | 33/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 37/2 |
| 11 | 3 | 40/3 |
| 12 | 9 | 49/3 |
| 13 | 5 | 54/5 |
| 14 | 2 | 56/7 |
| 15 | 3 | 59/8 |
| 16 | 7 | 66/8 |
| 17 | 3 | 69/9 |
| 18 | 0 | 69/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.