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Zimbabwe Women tour of Ireland · 2025 · Women
20 Jul 2025 · T20
Pembroke Cricket Club, Sandymount, Dublin · Venue photographRecorded result
Ireland more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Zimbabwe started on 11%; Zimbabwe batted first.
Zimbabwe's chances ranged from 0% to 15% during the match (Ireland: 85% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Huntercaught · Modester Mupachikwa · K Chigora 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Modester Mupachikwa · b K Chigora | 9 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 56.25 |
| Gaby Lewisstumped · Modester Mupachikwa · Loren Tshuma 13 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Modester Mupachikwa · b Loren Tshuma | 67 | 49 | 13 | 1 | 136.73 |
| Orla Prendergastbowled · K Chigora 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b K Chigora | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 60.00 |
| Leah Paulnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 11* | 15 | 0 | 0 | 73.33 |
| Laura Delanycaught · Modester Mupachikwa · Francisca Chipare 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Modester Mupachikwa · b Francisca Chipare | 11 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 137.50 |
| not out |
| 2* |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 40.00 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 9 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Chigora1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 1 | 18 | 2 | 4.70 | 2 | 0 |
| T Makusha0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 6.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Francisca Chipare0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 6.33 | 6 | 0 |
| L Mabhero0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Kelis Ndhlovu0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Loren Tshuma0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 13.00 | 0 | 1 |
1-39 (Amy Hunter, 6.4) · 2-47 (Orla Prendergast, 8.5) · 3-95 (Gaby Lewis, 13.2) · 4-115 (Laura Delany, 15.5)
Recorded target: 118 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 17/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 22/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 24/0 |
| 5 | 6 | 30/0 |
| 6 | 9 | 39/0 |
| 7 | 0 | 39/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 42/1 |
| 9 | 5 | 47/2 |
| 10 | 7 | 54/2 |
| 11 | 12 | 66/2 |
| 12 | 9 | 75/2 |
| 13 | 9 | 84/2 |
| 14 | 13 | 97/3 |
| 15 | 11 | 108/3 |
| 16 | 8 | 116/4 |
| 17 | 2 | 118/4 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.