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Photo: Charles from Sandton, South Africa
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
SA20 · 2024/25 · Men
8 Feb 2025 · T20
Wanderers Stadium, Johannesburg · Venue photographRecorded result
MI Cape Town started on 45%; MI Cape Town batted first.
MI Cape Town's chances ranged from 41% to 100% during the match (Sunrisers Eastern Cape: 0% to 59%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bedinghamcaught · George Linde · Kagiso Rabada 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · George Linde · b Kagiso Rabada | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 62.50 |
| Tony de Zorzilbw · Rashid Khan 3 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Rashid Khan | 26 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 113.04 |
| Jordan Hermanncaught · Ryan Rickelton · Trent Boult 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ryan Rickelton · b Trent Boult | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
 Tom Abellstumped · Ryan Rickelton · George Linde4 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Ryan Rickelton · b George Linde | 30 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 120.00 |
 |
| caught · Kagiso Rabada · b George Linde |
| 6 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 120.00 |
| Tristan Stubbscaught · Rashid Khan · Trent Boult 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rashid Khan · b Trent Boult | 15 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Marco Jansencaught · Rashid Khan · Kagiso Rabada0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rashid Khan · b Kagiso Rabada | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 45.45 |
|---|
| Andile Simelanenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 10 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Liam Dawsoncaught · Connor Esterhuizen · Kagiso Rabada 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Connor Esterhuizen · b Kagiso Rabada | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
 Craig Overtoncaught · Rashid Khan · Corbin Bosch0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rashid Khan · b Corbin Bosch | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Richard Gleesoncaught · CA Ingram · Kagiso Rabada0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · CA Ingram · b Kagiso Rabada | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trent Boult0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 2.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Kagiso Rabada0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 6.82 | 0 | 0 |
| Corbin Bosch0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Rashid Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
| George Linde0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-7 (David Bedingham, 1.5) · 2-8 (Jordan Hermann, 2.4) · 3-65 (Tom Abell, 9.4) · 4-68 (Tony de Zorzi, 10.3) · 5-74 (Aiden Markram, 11.2) · 6-92 (Tristan Stubbs, 14.5) · 7-97 (Marco Jansen, 16.3) · 8-101 (Liam Dawson, 16.5) · 9-102 (Craig Overton, 17.1) · 10-105 (Richard Gleeson, 18.4)
Recorded target: 182 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 8/1 |
| 3 | 1 | 9/2 |
| 4 | 14 | 23/2 |
| 5 | 2 | 25/2 |
| 6 | 9 | 34/2 |
| 7 | 4 | 38/2 |
| 8 | 16 | 54/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 59/2 |
| 10 | 8 | 67/3 |
| 11 | 6 | 73/4 |
| 12 | 4 | 77/5 |
| 13 | 6 | 83/5 |
| 14 | 5 | 88/5 |
| 15 | 5 | 93/6 |
| 16 | 3 | 96/6 |
| 17 | 6 | 102/8 |
| 18 | 3 | 105/9 |
| 19 | 0 | 105/10 |
Craig Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marco Jansen: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Richard Gleeson: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Aiden Markram: Marcel Sigg · CC0
Tom Abell: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Trent Boult: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rashid Khan: Afghanistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Reeza Hendricks: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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