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Asian Cricket Council Women's Premier Cup · 2026 · Women
6 Jun 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Hong Kong started on 51%; Hong Kong batted first.
Hong Kong's chances ranged from 42% to 100% during the match (Nepal: 0% to 58%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samjhana Khadkacaught · Kary Chan · M Wai Siu 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kary Chan · b M Wai Siu | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
 Bindu Rawalcaught · MBA Lamplough · Iqra Sahar0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · MBA Lamplough · b Iqra Sahar | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Puja Mahatocaught · Natasha Miles · Iqra Sahar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Natasha Miles · b Iqra Sahar | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Sony Pakhrinstumped · Y Daswani · Kary Chan 2 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Y Daswani · b Kary Chan | 12 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 52.17 |
| R Poddarcaught · Mariko Hill · Iqra Sahar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mariko Hill |
| 0 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| I Barmacaught · MBA Lamplough · Iqra Sahar 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · MBA Lamplough · b Iqra Sahar | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
 Rubina Chhetricaught · Mariko Hill · Kary Chan2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mariko Hill · b Kary Chan | 10 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
 Sita Rana Magarbowled · M Bibi0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b M Bibi | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| K Kunwarnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 8 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Riya Sharmalbw · M Bibi 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b M Bibi | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 9.09 |
|---|
| M Upadhayaycaught · M Bibi · Joyleen Kaur 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · M Bibi · b Joyleen Kaur | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iqra Sahar2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
| M Wai Siu1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Kary Chan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1.50 | 0 | 0 |
| M Bibi1 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 5.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Joyleen Kaur0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-3 (Bindu Rawal, 1.0) · 2-3 (Samjhana Khadka, 1.1) · 3-3 (Puja Mahato, 2.5) · 4-7 (R Poddar, 4.3) · 5-19 (I Barma, 6.4) · 6-33 (Sony Pakhrin, 9.3) · 7-34 (Rubina Chhetri, 9.5) · 8-34 (Sita Rana Magar, 10.1) · 9-38 (Riya Sharma, 13.0) · 10-40 (M Upadhayay, 13.3)
Recorded target: 110 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/1 |
| 2 | 0 | 3/2 |
| 3 | 0 | 3/3 |
| 4 | 4 | 7/3 |
| 5 | 1 | 8/4 |
| 6 | 11 | 19/4 |
| 7 | 0 | 19/5 |
| 8 | 2 | 21/5 |
| 9 | 12 | 33/5 |
| 10 | 1 | 34/7 |
| 11 | 0 | 34/8 |
| 12 | 1 | 35/8 |
| 13 | 3 | 38/9 |
| 14 | 2 | 40/10 |
Sita Rana Magar: Surajthapa1207 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rubina Chhetri: Surajthapa1207 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Bindu Rawal: Surajthapa1207 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
