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Continental Cup · 2026 · Men
19 Jun 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Romania more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Belgium started on 33%; Belgium batted first.
Belgium's chances ranged from 22% to 100% during the match (Romania: 0% to 78%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AN Lascucaught · Zaki Ul Hassan · Hadisullah Tarakhel 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Zaki Ul Hassan · b Hadisullah Tarakhel | 16 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 160.00 |
| Ramesh Satheesancaught · F Khaliq · Rashid Khan (4) 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · F Khaliq · b Rashid Khan (4) | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 123.08 |
| Irfan Ringkucaught · Omid Mailk Khel · Murid Ekrami 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Omid Mailk Khel · b Murid Ekrami | 31 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 103.33 |
| V Sainicaught · Sheraz Sheikh · Zaki Ul Hassan 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sheraz Sheikh · b Zaki Ul Hassan | 17 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 130.77 |
| Avishka Iroshancaught · Sheraz Sheikh · Murid Ekrami 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Sheraz Sheikh · b Murid Ekrami | 22 | 22 | 0 | 2 |
| 100.00 |
| Md Ariyancaught · Walid Sahibzada · Rashid Khan (4) 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Walid Sahibzada · b Rashid Khan (4) | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| J Fernandocaught · F Khaliq · Zaki Ul Hassan 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · F Khaliq · b Zaki Ul Hassan | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 87.50 |
|---|
| T Sandaruwanrun out · Omid Mailk Khel, Walid Sahibzada · Aziz Mohammad 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Omid Mailk Khel, Walid Sahibzada | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Eranga De Silvanot out 2 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 20* | 9 | 2 | 1 | 222.22 |
|---|
| M Kolinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 12* | 9 | 0 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 8 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hadisullah Tarakhel0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 9.00 | 2 | 0 |
| F Khaliq0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 11.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Rashid Khan (4)0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Aziz Mohammad0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 2 |
| Zaki Ul Hassan0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 9.33 | 5 | 0 |
| Murid Ekrami0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 3.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Sheraz Sheikh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-35 (AN Lascu, 3.0) · 2-39 (Ramesh Satheesan, 3.5) · 3-74 (V Saini, 7.4) · 4-114 (Avishka Iroshan, 14.2) · 5-115 (Irfan Ringku, 15.0) · 6-121 (Md Ariyan, 15.5) · 7-126 (T Sandaruwan, 16.2) · 8-145 (J Fernando, 18.0)
Recorded target: 181 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 15 | 19/0 |
| 3 | 16 | 35/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 40/2 |
| 5 | 5 | 45/2 |
| 6 | 8 | 53/2 |
| 7 | 15 | 68/2 |
| 8 | 8 | 76/3 |
| 9 | 3 | 79/3 |
| 10 | 11 | 90/3 |
| 11 | 4 | 94/3 |
| 12 | 8 | 102/3 |
| 13 | 7 | 109/3 |
| 14 | 5 | 114/3 |
| 15 | 1 | 115/5 |
| 16 | 8 | 123/6 |
| 17 | 13 | 136/7 |
| 18 | 9 | 145/8 |
| 19 | 7 | 152/8 |
| 20 | 8 | 160/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.