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Photo: Sachintha Wijayatunga
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
ICC Women's World Cup · 2025/26 · Women
2 Oct 2025 · ODI
R Premadasa Stadium, Colombo · Venue photographRecorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Pakistan started on 48%; Pakistan batted first.
Pakistan's chances ranged from 0% to 49% during the match (Bangladesh: 51% to 100%).
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fargana Hoquelbw · Diana Baig0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Diana Baig | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 11.76 |
| Rubya Haidernot out 8 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 54* | 77 | 8 | 0 | 70.13 |
 Sharmin Akhterlbw · Rameen Shamim1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Rameen Shamim | 10 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 33.33 |
 Nigar Sultanacaught · Diana Baig · Fatima Sana5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Diana Baig · b Fatima Sana | 23 | 44 | 5 | 0 | 52.27 |
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| not out |
| 24* |
| 19 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 126.32 |
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 13 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fatima Sana1 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 30 | 1 | 3.75 | 4 | 0 |
| Diana Baig3 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 1.75 | 2 | 0 |
| Sadia Iqbal0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 3.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Rameen Shamim0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 5.00 | 5 | 0 |
| Nashra Sandhu1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.1 | 1 | 27 | 0 | 8.53 | 1 | 0 |
| Umaima Sohail0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-7 (Fargana Hoque, 3.5) · 2-35 (Sharmin Akhter, 12.0) · 3-97 (Nigar Sultana, 24.5)
Recorded target: 130 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 5/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 7/0 |
| 4 | 0 | 7/1 |
| 5 | 7 | 14/1 |
| 6 | 1 | 15/1 |
| 7 | 7 | 22/1 |
| 8 | 0 | 22/1 |
| 9 | 1 | 23/1 |
| 10 | 0 | 23/1 |
| 11 | 6 | 29/1 |
| 12 | 6 | 35/2 |
| 13 | 1 | 36/2 |
| 14 | 1 | 37/2 |
| 15 | 6 | 43/2 |
| 16 | 13 | 56/2 |
| 17 | 0 | 56/2 |
| 18 | 5 | 61/2 |
| 19 | 14 | 75/2 |
| 20 | 6 | 81/2 |
| 21 | 6 | 87/2 |
| 22 | 2 | 89/2 |
| 23 | 1 | 90/2 |
| 24 | 4 | 94/2 |
| 25 | 3 | 97/3 |
| 26 | 4 | 101/3 |
| 27 | 0 | 101/3 |
| 28 | 9 | 110/3 |
| 29 | 2 | 112/3 |
| 30 | 9 | 121/3 |
| 31 | 6 | 127/3 |
| 32 | 4 | 131/3 |
Sharmin Akhter: Digimarka · CC BY-SA 4.0
Fahima Khatun: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nigar Sultana: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nahida Akter: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marufa Akter: Press Information Department · Public domain
Fargana Hoque: Digimarka · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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