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Vitality Blast Women · 2025 · Women
18 Jun 2025 · T20
The Oval · Venue photographSurrey started on 56%; Surrey batted first.
Surrey's chances ranged from 34% to 100% during the match (Lancashire: 0% to 66%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Evelyn Joneslbw · Matilda Corteen-Coleman1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Matilda Corteen-Coleman | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 71.43 |
| Emma Lambbowled · Ryana MacDonald-Gay 7 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Ryana MacDonald-Gay | 64 | 46 | 7 | 1 | 139.13 |
| Seren Smalebowled · Matilda Corteen-Coleman 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Matilda Corteen-Coleman | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 71.43 |
 Fi Morriscaught · Kira Chathli · Ryana MacDonald-Gay0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kira Chathli · b Ryana MacDonald-Gay | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
| stumped · Kira Chathli · b Phoebe Franklin |
| 32 |
| 27 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 118.52 |
| Ailsa Listerrun out · Ryana MacDonald-Gay · Natasha Farrant 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Ryana MacDonald-Gay | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Alana Kingcaught · Paige Scholfield · Phoebe Franklin1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Paige Scholfield · b Phoebe Franklin | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 85.71 |
|---|
 Kate Crosscaught · Paige Scholfield · Ryana MacDonald-Gay0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Paige Scholfield · b Ryana MacDonald-Gay | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Tara Norriscaught · Natasha Farrant · Phoebe Franklin0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Natasha Farrant · b Phoebe Franklin | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Grace Johnsonnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Sophie Morrisbowled · Ryana MacDonald-Gay 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ryana MacDonald-Gay | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natasha Farrant0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 6.67 | 2 | 0 |
| Matilda Corteen-Coleman0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryana MacDonald-Gay0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.3 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Grace Harris0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Phoebe Franklin0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Alice Davidson-Richards0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-11 (Evelyn Jones, 2.0) · 2-29 (Seren Smale, 4.5) · 3-32 (Fi Morris, 5.3) · 4-102 (Eleanor Threlkeld, 13.5) · 5-104 (Ailsa Lister, 14.2) · 6-112 (Emma Lamb, 15.5) · 7-116 (Alana King, 16.2) · 8-118 (Tara Norris, 17.0) · 9-118 (Kate Cross, 17.1) · 10-118 (Sophie Morris, 17.3)
Recorded target: 172 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 11/1 |
| 3 | 11 | 22/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 28/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 31/2 |
| 6 | 1 | 32/3 |
| 7 | 7 | 39/3 |
| 8 | 6 | 45/3 |
| 9 | 8 | 53/3 |
| 10 | 11 | 64/3 |
| 11 | 5 | 69/3 |
| 12 | 13 | 82/3 |
| 13 | 18 | 100/3 |
| 14 | 2 | 102/4 |
| 15 | 8 | 110/5 |
| 16 | 2 | 112/6 |
| 17 | 6 | 118/8 |
| 18 | 0 | 118/10 |
Eleanor Threlkeld: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tara Norris: Tukpuki · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kate Cross: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophia Dunkley: Tukpuki · CC BY-SA 4.0
Grace Harris: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Paige Scholfield: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Fi Morris: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alana King: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Danielle Wyatt: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Evelyn Jones: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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