West IndiesversusPakistan

29 May 2026 · T20

Clontarf Cricket Club Ground, Dublin · Venue photograph

Recorded result

West Indies won by 25 runs

West Indies20.0 overs199/6 Pakistan20.0 overs174/8 Clontarf Cricket Club Ground, Dublin ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

West Indies more likely to win

58%West Indies42%Pakistan

Why

In the last 10 T20 internationals between these sides, West Indies won 8 and Pakistan won 2
On results in T20 internationals so far, Pakistan rate stronger than West Indies (1,540 vs 1,520 on our results rating)

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

West Indies started on 56%; West Indies batted first.

West Indies’s chance of winning (%) · Pakistan is the rest

West Indies's chances ranged from 56% to 100% during the match (Pakistan: 0% to 44%).

Biggest swings

4.6: Diana Baig to HK Matthews, HK Matthews out. Pakistan up from 16% to 21%.
6.4: Nashra Sandhu to DJS Dottin, DJS Dottin out. Pakistan up from 21% to 26%.
7.4: Rameen Shamim to Q Joseph, Q Joseph out. Pakistan up from 28% to 34%.

Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

West Indies199/6 Pakistan174/8

Innings 1

West Indies

199/620.0 overs

Batting, bowling & fall of wickets

West Indies batting
Batter	Dismissal	R	B	4s	6s	SR
Hayley Matthewscaught · Saira Jabeen · Diana Baig 9 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Saira Jabeen · b Diana Baig	40	20	9	0	200.00
Deandra Dottinbowled · Nashra Sandhu 2 fours · 0 sixes	bowled · b Nashra Sandhu	17	16	2	0	106.25
Qiana Josephcaught · Saira Jabeen · Rameen Shamim 0 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Saira Jabeen · b Rameen Shamim	4	6	0	0	66.67
Stafanie Taylorlbw · Nashra Sandhu 4 fours · 2 sixes	lbw · b Nashra Sandhu	39	23

Bowler	Overs	R	W	Runs / 6 balls	WD	NB
Fatima Sana0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	50	0	12.50	1	0
Diana Baig0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls	4.0	58	1	14.50	0	1
Sadia Iqbal0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	33	0	8.25	0	0
Nashra Sandhu0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	29	2	7.25	1	0
Rameen Shamim0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	27	2	6.75	2	0

Over / set	Runs	Score
1	5	5/0
2	15	20/0
3	21	41/0
4	7	48/0
5	9	57/1
6	4	61/1
7	4	65/2
8	1	66/3
9	7	73/3
10	11	84/3
11	18	102/3
12	12	114/3
13	8	122/4
14	3	125/5
15	10	135/5
16	15	150/5
17	10	160/5
18	7	167/5
19	15	182/5
20	17	199/6

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