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ICC Women's World Cup Qualifier · 2025 · Women
13 Apr 2025 · ODI
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Scotland started on 44%; Scotland batted first.
Scotland's chances ranged from 12% to 99% during the match (Thailand: 1% to 88%).
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nattaya Boochathamlbw · Rachel Slater4 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Rachel Slater | 20 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 71.43 |
 Chanida Sutthiruangbowled · Rachel Slater3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Rachel Slater | 18 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 81.82 |
 Nannapat Koncharoenkaibowled · Rachel Slater0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Rachel Slater | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 27.27 |
 Natthakan Chantambowled · Abtaha Maqsood8 fours · 1 sixes |
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| bowled · b Abtaha Maqsood |
| 63 |
| 58 |
| 8 |
| 1 |
| 108.62 |
 Naruemol Chaiwailbw · Abtaha Maqsood1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Abtaha Maqsood | 7 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| T Putthawongcaught · Ailsa Lister · Katherine Fraser 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ailsa Lister · b Katherine Fraser | 6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 54.55 |
|---|
| Phannita Mayacaught · Ailsa Lister · Hannah Rainey 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ailsa Lister · b Hannah Rainey | 8 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 72.73 |
|---|
| S Khiaotocaught · Sarah Bryce · Katherine Fraser 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sarah Bryce · b Katherine Fraser | 8 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 61.54 |
|---|
 Suleeporn Laomibowled · Abtaha Maqsood0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Abtaha Maqsood | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| S Chaturongrattananot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 8 | 0 | 0 | 12.50 |
|---|
 Onnicha Kamchomphucaught · C Abel · Katherine Fraser0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · C Abel · b Katherine Fraser | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 11 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Slater1 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 1.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Katherine Fraser1 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.3 | 1 | 28 | 3 | 2.95 | 3 | 0 |
| Kathryn Bryce0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Priyanaz Chatterji0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Abtaha Maqsood0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 26 | 3 | 4.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Hannah Rainey0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 2 | 0 |
1-41 (Nattaya Boochatham, 8.1) · 2-42 (Chanida Sutthiruang, 9.0) · 3-46 (Nannapat Koncharoenkai, 10.4) · 4-71 (Naruemol Chaiwai, 15.0) · 5-96 (T Putthawong, 19.1) · 6-116 (Phannita Maya, 22.5) · 7-132 (S Khiaoto, 26.0) · 8-143 (Suleeporn Laomi, 28.5) · 9-145 (Natthakan Chantam, 30.1) · 10-148 (Onnicha Kamchomphu, 31.3)
Recorded target: 207 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 3/0 |
| 4 | 7 | 10/0 |
| 5 | 3 | 13/0 |
| 6 | 13 | 26/0 |
| 7 | 1 | 27/0 |
| 8 | 14 | 41/0 |
| 9 | 1 | 42/2 |
| 10 | 3 | 45/2 |
| 11 | 3 | 48/3 |
| 12 | 8 | 56/3 |
| 13 | 6 | 62/3 |
| 14 | 6 | 68/3 |
| 15 | 3 | 71/4 |
| 16 | 11 | 82/4 |
| 17 | 4 | 86/4 |
| 18 | 1 | 87/4 |
| 19 | 9 | 96/4 |
| 20 | 0 | 96/5 |
| 21 | 9 | 105/5 |
| 22 | 4 | 109/5 |
| 23 | 7 | 116/6 |
| 24 | 6 | 122/6 |
| 25 | 5 | 127/6 |
| 26 | 5 | 132/7 |
| 27 | 9 | 141/7 |
| 28 | 1 | 142/7 |
| 29 | 1 | 143/8 |
| 30 | 2 | 145/8 |
| 31 | 3 | 148/9 |
| 32 | 0 | 148/10 |
Naruemol Chaiwai: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nannapat Koncharoenkai: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nattaya Boochatham: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chanida Sutthiruang: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Onnicha Kamchomphu: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Natthakan Chantam: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Suleeporn Laomi: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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