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United Arab Emirates Women tour of Zimbabwe · 2025/26 · Women
30 Sept 2025 · ODI
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Zimbabwe started on 46%; Zimbabwe batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esha Ozacaught · Loryn Phiri · A Zimunu 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Loryn Phiri · b A Zimunu | 5 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 29.41 |
| Lavanya Kenycaught and bowled · L Mabhero 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b L Mabhero | 16 | 53 | 2 | 0 | 30.19 |
| Heena Hotchandanicaught and bowled · L Mabhero 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b L Mabhero | 40 | 91 | 5 | 0 | 43.96 |
| S Dharnidharkacaught · Chipo Mugeri · Loren Tshuma 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chipo Mugeri · b Loren Tshuma | 9 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 52.94 |
| Theertha Satishcaught · Kelis Ndhlovu · A Zimunu 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kelis Ndhlovu · b A Zimunu | 11 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
Zimbabwe's chances ranged from 19% to 100% during the match (United Arab Emirates: 0% to 81%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| Rinitha Rajithlbw · L Mabhero 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| lbw · b L Mabhero |
| 3 |
| 9 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 33.33 |
| MD Botharun out · L Mabhero · Loryn Phiri 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · L Mabhero | 11 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 61.11 |
|---|
| Al Maseera Jahangircaught · Kelis Ndhlovu · T Makusha 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kelis Ndhlovu · b T Makusha | 10 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Vaishnave Maheshnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 18* | 17 | 1 | 0 | 105.88 |
|---|
| I Nandakumarnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 16* | 27 | 1 | 0 | 59.26 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 25 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Zimunu0 maidens · 10 wides · 1 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 3.22 | 10 | 1 |
| Josephine Nkomo1 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 32 | 0 | 4.00 | 7 | 0 |
| T Makusha1 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 1 | 21 | 1 | 2.33 | 5 | 0 |
| Audrey Mazvishaya0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 4.25 | 1 | 0 |
| L Mabhero0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 21 | 3 | 2.10 | 1 | 0 |
| Loren Tshuma0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 4.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Loryn Phiri0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-12 (Esha Oza, 4.2) · 2-55 (Lavanya Keny, 21.4) · 3-75 (S Dharnidharka, 26.4) · 4-98 (Theertha Satish, 32.5) · 5-102 (Heena Hotchandani, 33.5) · 6-108 (Rinitha Rajith, 35.1) · 7-130 (MD Botha, 42.2) · 8-136 (Al Maseera Jahangir, 43.2)
Recorded target: 204 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 2/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 9/0 |
| 4 | 3 | 12/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 13/1 |
| 6 | 0 | 13/1 |
| 7 | 2 | 15/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 19/1 |
| 9 | 2 | 21/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 23/1 |
| 11 | 1 | 24/1 |
| 12 | 2 | 26/1 |
| 13 | 6 | 32/1 |
| 14 | 1 | 33/1 |
| 15 | 1 | 34/1 |
| 16 | 0 | 34/1 |
| 17 | 5 | 39/1 |
| 18 | 6 | 45/1 |
| 19 | 2 | 47/1 |
| 20 | 1 | 48/1 |
| 21 | 6 | 54/1 |
| 22 | 1 | 55/2 |
| 23 | 7 | 62/2 |
| 24 | 1 | 63/2 |
| 25 | 5 | 68/2 |
| 26 | 3 | 71/2 |
| 27 | 5 | 76/3 |
| 28 | 2 | 78/3 |
| 29 | 4 | 82/3 |
| 30 | 5 | 87/3 |
| 31 | 5 | 92/3 |
| 32 | 1 | 93/3 |
| 33 | 6 | 99/4 |
| 34 | 3 | 102/5 |
| 35 | 6 | 108/5 |
| 36 | 1 | 109/6 |
| 37 | 4 | 113/6 |
| 38 | 3 | 116/6 |
| 39 | 4 | 120/6 |
| 40 | 2 | 122/6 |
| 41 | 5 | 127/6 |
| 42 | 2 | 129/6 |
| 43 | 6 | 135/7 |
| 44 | 1 | 136/8 |
| 45 | 6 | 142/8 |
| 46 | 5 | 147/8 |
| 47 | 2 | 149/8 |
| 48 | 6 | 155/8 |
| 49 | 7 | 162/8 |
| 50 | 6 | 168/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.