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United Arab Emirates Women tour of Zimbabwe · 2025/26 · Women
30 Sept 2025 · ODI
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Zimbabwe started on 46%; Zimbabwe batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modester Mupachikwacaught · Esha Oza · I Nandakumar 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Esha Oza · b I Nandakumar | 19 | 45 | 3 | 0 | 42.22 |
| Kelis Ndhlovubowled · ATS Silva 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b ATS Silva | 10 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 58.82 |
| Chipo Mugericaught · Esha Oza · I Nandakumar 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Esha Oza · b I Nandakumar | 14 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 58.33 |
| Loren Tshumabowled · Esha Oza 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Esha Oza | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Josephine Nkomostumped · Theertha Satish · Esha Oza 4 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Theertha Satish · b Esha Oza | 52 | 76 | 4 | 0 | 68.42 |
Zimbabwe's chances ranged from 19% to 100% during the match (United Arab Emirates: 0% to 81%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · Vaishnave Mahesh · b MD Botha |
| 69 |
| 94 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 73.40 |
| Chiedza Dhururunot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 17* | 22 | 2 | 0 | 77.27 |
|---|
| A Zimunubowled · ATS Silva 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b ATS Silva | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Audrey Mazvishayanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 8 | 0 | 0 | 87.50 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 9 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Dharnidharka0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 3.56 | 4 | 0 |
| ATS Silva1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 52 | 2 | 5.20 | 0 | 0 |
| Esha Oza0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 3.30 | 0 | 0 |
| I Nandakumar1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 35 | 2 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Vaishnave Mahesh0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 5.40 | 2 | 0 |
| MD Botha0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 4.00 | 3 | 0 |
1-20 (Kelis Ndhlovu, 5.3) · 2-45 (Modester Mupachikwa, 13.0) · 3-46 (Chipo Mugeri, 14.4) · 4-46 (Loren Tshuma, 15.3) · 5-159 (Josephine Nkomo, 42.1) · 6-176 (Loryn Phiri, 44.2) · 7-189 (A Zimunu, 47.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 1/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 7/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 13/0 |
| 5 | 6 | 19/0 |
| 6 | 1 | 20/1 |
| 7 | 1 | 21/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 24/1 |
| 9 | 2 | 26/1 |
| 10 | 8 | 34/1 |
| 11 | 5 | 39/1 |
| 12 | 5 | 44/1 |
| 13 | 1 | 45/2 |
| 14 | 1 | 46/2 |
| 15 | 0 | 46/3 |
| 16 | 3 | 49/4 |
| 17 | 1 | 50/4 |
| 18 | 2 | 52/4 |
| 19 | 2 | 54/4 |
| 20 | 4 | 58/4 |
| 21 | 10 | 68/4 |
| 22 | 4 | 72/4 |
| 23 | 3 | 75/4 |
| 24 | 4 | 79/4 |
| 25 | 4 | 83/4 |
| 26 | 5 | 88/4 |
| 27 | 7 | 95/4 |
| 28 | 2 | 97/4 |
| 29 | 1 | 98/4 |
| 30 | 3 | 101/4 |
| 31 | 12 | 113/4 |
| 32 | 5 | 118/4 |
| 33 | 4 | 122/4 |
| 34 | 1 | 123/4 |
| 35 | 4 | 127/4 |
| 36 | 2 | 129/4 |
| 37 | 3 | 132/4 |
| 38 | 6 | 138/4 |
| 39 | 5 | 143/4 |
| 40 | 3 | 146/4 |
| 41 | 5 | 151/4 |
| 42 | 8 | 159/4 |
| 43 | 6 | 165/5 |
| 44 | 11 | 176/5 |
| 45 | 1 | 177/6 |
| 46 | 4 | 181/6 |
| 47 | 8 | 189/6 |
| 48 | 3 | 192/7 |
| 49 | 3 | 195/7 |
| 50 | 8 | 203/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.