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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
9 Jun 2026 · T20
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-Street · Venue photographRecorded result
Durham started on 51%; Durham batted first.
Durham's chances ranged from 0% to 89% during the match (Lancashire: 11% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keaton Jenningscaught · Kasey Aldridge · Callum Parkinson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kasey Aldridge · b Callum Parkinson | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Liam Livingstonenot out 6 fours · 8 sixes | not out | 85* | 31 | 6 | 8 | 274.19 |
| Ben McDermottbowled · Nathan Sowter 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nathan Sowter | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Michael Jonescaught · Nathan Sowter · Kasey Aldridge3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Nathan Sowter · b Kasey Aldridge | 27 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 180.00 |
| J Mooresnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 3 | 1 |
| 0 |
| 200.00 |
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callum Parkinson0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 10.50 | 5 | 0 |
 Matthew Potts0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.1 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 19.71 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Sowter0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 10.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Kasey Aldridge0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 18.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Ben Raine0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-2 (Keaton Jennings, 0.4) · 2-40 (Ben McDermott, 3.1) · 3-86 (Michael Jones, 7.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/1 |
| 2 | 19 | 26/1 |
| 3 | 14 | 40/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 46/2 |
| 5 | 11 | 57/2 |
| 6 | 14 | 71/2 |
| 7 | 15 | 86/2 |
| 8 | 25 | 111/3 |
| 9 | 15 | 126/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 130/3 |
Tom Hartley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Luke Wood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Michael Jones: Dave Morton · Public domain
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Lees: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Raine: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Potts: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Rhodes: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marcus Harris: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Robinson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Graham Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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