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Photo: Will Noakes
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
13 Jul 2025 · T20
Edgbaston · Venue photographRecorded result
Northamptonshire started on 42%; Northamptonshire batted first.
Northamptonshire's chances ranged from 41% to 100% during the match (Birmingham Bears: 0% to 59%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Daviescaught · Lewis McManus · David Willey 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Lewis McManus · b David Willey | 26 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 185.71 |
 Tom Lathamlbw · Lloyd Pope3 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Lloyd Pope | 25 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 166.67 |
| Dan Mousleycaught · Lewis McManus · David Willey 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lewis McManus · b David Willey | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Sam Haincaught · George Bartlett · Luke Procter 5 fours · 2 sixes | caught · George Bartlett · b Luke Procter | 50 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 172.41 |
| Jacob Bethellbowled · Ravi Bopara 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled |
| 13 |
| 10 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 130.00 |
| Ed Barnardcaught · Ravi Bopara · Luke Procter 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ravi Bopara · b Luke Procter | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| George Gartoncaught · Lewis McManus · George Scrimshaw 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lewis McManus · b George Scrimshaw | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 85.71 |
|---|
 Hasan Alicaught · Matthew Breetzke · George Scrimshaw0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matthew Breetzke · b George Scrimshaw | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
|---|
| Danny Briggsnot out 4 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 32* | 19 | 4 | 1 | 168.42 |
|---|
| Craig Milescaught · Lewis McManus · George Scrimshaw 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lewis McManus · b George Scrimshaw | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Richard Gleesonrun out · David Willey · Ben Sanderson0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · David Willey | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 David Willey0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Ben Sanderson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 9.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Luke Procter0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 2 | 9.75 | 2 | 0 |
 George Scrimshaw0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 3 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Lloyd Pope0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Ravi Bopara0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-26 (Alex Davies, 2.2) · 2-32 (Dan Mousley, 3.0) · 3-87 (Tom Latham, 8.0) · 4-110 (Jacob Bethell, 10.3) · 5-119 (Ed Barnard, 12.0) · 6-129 (Sam Hain, 13.4) · 7-130 (George Garton, 14.1) · 8-155 (Hasan Ali, 16.4) · 9-169 (Craig Miles, 18.5) · 10-176 (Richard Gleeson, 20.0)
Recorded target: 241 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 13/0 |
| 2 | 13 | 26/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 32/2 |
| 4 | 10 | 42/2 |
| 5 | 8 | 50/2 |
| 6 | 19 | 69/2 |
| 7 | 14 | 83/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 87/3 |
| 9 | 5 | 92/3 |
| 10 | 14 | 106/3 |
| 11 | 9 | 115/4 |
| 12 | 4 | 119/5 |
| 13 | 7 | 126/5 |
| 14 | 4 | 130/6 |
| 15 | 7 | 137/7 |
| 16 | 12 | 149/7 |
| 17 | 7 | 156/8 |
| 18 | 7 | 163/8 |
| 19 | 6 | 169/9 |
| 20 | 7 | 176/10 |
George Scrimshaw: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Sanderson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravi Bopara: Stephen Turner at English Wikipedia · CC BY-SA 3.0
Richard Gleeson: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Luke Procter: Dave Morton · Public domain
David Willey: Whatisthefrequencykenneth · CC BY 3.0
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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