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Photo: Mattbuck
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
7 Jun 2026 · T20
Trent Bridge · Venue photographRecorded result
Nottinghamshire started on 56%; Nottinghamshire batted first.
Nottinghamshire's chances ranged from 55% to 100% during the match (Derbyshire: 0% to 45%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aneurin Donaldcaught · Tom Moores · Mohammad Ali2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Tom Moores · b Mohammad Ali | 20 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 222.22 |
| Martin Anderssonbowled · Dillon Pennington 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Dillon Pennington | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Caleb Jewellcaught · Liam Patterson-White · Mohammad Ali 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Liam Patterson-White · b Mohammad Ali | 25 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 166.67 |
 Wayne Madsencaught · Jack Haynes · Liam Patterson-White2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jack Haynes · b Liam Patterson-White | 27 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 122.73 |
| caught · Jack Haynes · b Mohammad Ali |
| 4 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 133.33 |
 Ross Whiteleycaught · Oli Stone3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · b Oli Stone | 24 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 141.18 |
|---|
| AS Basracaught · Benny Howell · Liam Patterson-White 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Benny Howell · b Liam Patterson-White | 15 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 136.36 |
|---|
| Nick Pottscaught and bowled · Dillon Pennington 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught and bowled · b Dillon Pennington | 19 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 158.33 |
|---|
 Ben Aitchisonnot out1 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 25* | 16 | 1 | 2 | 156.25 |
|---|
| Akif Javedcaught · Freddie McCann · Dillon Pennington 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Freddie McCann · b Dillon Pennington | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Jack Morleynot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 10 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Pennington0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Oli Stone0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Mohammad Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 3 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
| George Linde0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Benny Howell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Liam Patterson-White0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-3 (Martin Andersson, 0.4) · 2-30 (Aneurin Donald, 3.0) · 3-54 (Caleb Jewell, 5.1) · 4-58 (Matthew Montgomery, 5.4) · 5-92 (Ross Whiteley, 10.0) · 6-117 (AS Basra, 13.0) · 7-124 (Wayne Madsen, 14.1) · 8-139 (Nick Potts, 15.3) · 9-141 (Akif Javed, 16.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 2 | 16 | 21/1 |
| 3 | 9 | 30/2 |
| 4 | 11 | 41/2 |
| 5 | 13 | 54/2 |
| 6 | 5 | 59/4 |
| 7 | 11 | 70/4 |
| 8 | 4 | 74/4 |
| 9 | 11 | 85/4 |
| 10 | 7 | 92/5 |
| 11 | 6 | 98/5 |
| 12 | 9 | 107/5 |
| 13 | 10 | 117/6 |
| 14 | 7 | 124/6 |
| 15 | 11 | 135/7 |
| 16 | 6 | 141/9 |
| 17 | 4 | 145/9 |
| 18 | 11 | 156/9 |
| 19 | 8 | 164/9 |
| 20 | 9 | 173/9 |
Ross Whiteley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Aneurin Donald: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Aitchison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Moores: Dave Morton · Public domain
Benny Howell: Evertonfc99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Oli Stone: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jack Morley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Wayne Madsen: Parklands cobbler · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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