Chattogram RoyalsversusSylhet Titans

7 Jan 2026 · T20

Sylhet International Cricket Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Chattogram Royals won by 14 runs

Chattogram Royals20.0 overs198/5 Sylhet Titans19.4 overs184/10 Sylhet International Cricket Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Chattogram Royals started on 49%; Chattogram Royals batted first.

Chattogram Royals’s chance of winning (%) · Sylhet Titans is the rest

Chattogram Royals's chances ranged from 49% to 100% during the match (Sylhet Titans: 0% to 51%).

Biggest swings

4.1: MM Ali to Mohammad Naim, Mohammad Naim out. Sylhet Titans up from 36% to 45%.
2nd inns 5.4: Aamer Jamal to Towfiq Khan, Towfiq Khan out. Chattogram Royals up from 84% to 90%.
2nd inns 5.6: Aamer Jamal to Rony Talukdar, Rony Talukdar out. Chattogram Royals up from 87% to 94%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.