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ACC Men's Premier Cup · 2026 · Men
8 Sept 2026 · ODI
Recorded result
Oman more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 37%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jatinder Singhlbw · Khuzaima Tanveer 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Khuzaima Tanveer | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
| K Sonavalecaught · Harpreet Singh · Khuzaima Tanveer 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harpreet Singh · b Khuzaima Tanveer | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Mujibur Alilbw · Ibrar Ahmad 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ibrar Ahmad | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Jay Odedracaught · Adeeb Usmani · Khuzaima Tanveer 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Adeeb Usmani · b Khuzaima Tanveer | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Hammad Mirzacaught and bowled · Aayan Afzal Khan 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Aayan Afzal Khan | 17 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 48.57 |
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 13% to 98% during the match (Oman: 2% to 87%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · Harpreet Singh · b Adeeb Usmani |
| 51 |
| 70 |
| 6 |
| 1 |
| 72.86 |
| Vinayak Shuklalbw · Aayan Afzal Khan 1 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Aayan Afzal Khan | 14 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 82.35 |
|---|
| Shakeel Ahmedcaught · Ibrar Ahmad · Aayan Afzal Khan 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ibrar Ahmad · b Aayan Afzal Khan | 11 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 31.43 |
|---|
| Sanju Sajeevnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 15* | 27 | 1 | 0 | 55.56 |
|---|
| Nadeem Khan (2)bowled · Aayan Afzal Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Aayan Afzal Khan | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Hassnain Shahcaught · Khuzaima Tanveer · Aayan Afzal Khan 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Khuzaima Tanveer · b Aayan Afzal Khan | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 17 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khuzaima Tanveer1 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 1 | 21 | 3 | 3.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Ibrar Ahmad0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 6 | 0 |
| Muhammad Jawadullah1 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 2.83 | 3 | 0 |
| Aayan Afzal Khan1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.5 | 1 | 34 | 5 | 3.85 | 2 | 0 |
| Haider Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Adeeb Usmani0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 3.75 | 3 | 0 |
1-7 (K Sonavale, 0.5) · 2-12 (Jatinder Singh, 2.1) · 3-12 (Jay Odedra, 3.0) · 4-13 (Mujibur Ali, 3.1) · 5-58 (Hammad Mirza, 13.0) · 6-101 (Vinayak Shukla, 21.0) · 7-107 (Jiten Ramanandi, 25.2) · 8-135 (Shakeel Ahmed, 32.5) · 9-135 (Nadeem Khan (2), 33.0) · 10-143 (Hassnain Shah, 34.5)
Recorded target: 193 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/1 |
| 2 | 5 | 12/1 |
| 3 | 0 | 12/3 |
| 4 | 9 | 21/4 |
| 5 | 5 | 26/4 |
| 6 | 6 | 32/4 |
| 7 | 4 | 36/4 |
| 8 | 6 | 42/4 |
| 9 | 2 | 44/4 |
| 10 | 4 | 48/4 |
| 11 | 4 | 52/4 |
| 12 | 1 | 53/4 |
| 13 | 5 | 58/5 |
| 14 | 0 | 58/5 |
| 15 | 2 | 60/5 |
| 16 | 5 | 65/5 |
| 17 | 1 | 66/5 |
| 18 | 3 | 69/5 |
| 19 | 7 | 76/5 |
| 20 | 11 | 87/5 |
| 21 | 14 | 101/6 |
| 22 | 2 | 103/6 |
| 23 | 2 | 105/6 |
| 24 | 1 | 106/6 |
| 25 | 1 | 107/6 |
| 26 | 5 | 112/7 |
| 27 | 3 | 115/7 |
| 28 | 7 | 122/7 |
| 29 | 2 | 124/7 |
| 30 | 4 | 128/7 |
| 31 | 3 | 131/7 |
| 32 | 3 | 134/7 |
| 33 | 1 | 135/9 |
| 34 | 4 | 139/9 |
| 35 | 4 | 143/10 |
Harpreet Singh: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
