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ACC Men's Premier Cup · 2026 · Men
8 Sept 2026 · ODI
Recorded result
Oman more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 37%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T Suricaught · Mujibur Ali · Nadeem Khan (2) 6 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Mujibur Ali · b Nadeem Khan (2) | 48 | 53 | 6 | 2 | 90.57 |
| Adeeb Usmanicaught · Nadeem Khan (2) · Hassnain Shah 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Nadeem Khan (2) · b Hassnain Shah | 40 | 65 | 2 | 2 | 61.54 |
 Harpreet Singhcaught · Mujibur Ali · Jay Odedra0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mujibur Ali · b Jay Odedra | 6 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 35.29 |
| Akshdeep Nathcaught · Hassnain Shah · Shakeel Ahmed 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hassnain Shah · b Shakeel Ahmed | 33 | 49 | 3 | 0 | 67.35 |
| Rahul Chopralbw · Jay Odedra 0 fours · 0 sixes |
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 13% to 98% during the match (Oman: 2% to 87%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| lbw · b Jay Odedra |
| 0 |
| 7 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Sohaib Khancaught · Hammad Mirza · Shakeel Ahmed 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hammad Mirza · b Shakeel Ahmed | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Aayan Afzal Khanlbw · Mujibur Ali 3 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Mujibur Ali | 37 | 57 | 3 | 1 | 64.91 |
|---|
| Khuzaima Tanveercaught · Vinayak Shukla · Hassnain Shah 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Vinayak Shukla · b Hassnain Shah | 13 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 76.47 |
|---|
| Ibrar Ahmadlbw · Hassnain Shah 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Hassnain Shah | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Haider Alicaught · Jiten Ramanandi · Jay Odedra 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jiten Ramanandi · b Jay Odedra | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| Muhammad Jawadullahnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 7 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakeel Ahmed1 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 29 | 2 | 2.90 | 0 | 2 |
| Hassnain Shah1 maidens · 3 wides · 1 no-balls | 9.0 | 1 | 48 | 3 | 5.33 | 3 | 1 |
| Jiten Ramanandi0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 4.83 | 2 | 0 |
| Nadeem Khan (2)0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 42 | 1 | 4.20 | 1 | 0 |
| Mujibur Ali0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 3.38 | 1 | 0 |
| Jay Odedra0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.1 | 0 | 17 | 3 | 3.29 | 0 | 0 |
1-92 (T Suri, 18.4) · 2-98 (Adeeb Usmani, 21.4) · 3-102 (Harpreet Singh, 22.4) · 4-104 (Rahul Chopra, 24.3) · 5-105 (Sohaib Khan, 26.0) · 6-172 (Akshdeep Nath, 42.0) · 7-172 (Aayan Afzal Khan, 42.1) · 8-180 (Ibrar Ahmad, 45.4) · 9-189 (Khuzaima Tanveer, 47.1) · 10-192 (Haider Ali, 48.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 9/0 |
| 4 | 18 | 27/0 |
| 5 | 7 | 34/0 |
| 6 | 1 | 35/0 |
| 7 | 8 | 43/0 |
| 8 | 2 | 45/0 |
| 9 | 4 | 49/0 |
| 10 | 8 | 57/0 |
| 11 | 10 | 67/0 |
| 12 | 2 | 69/0 |
| 13 | 2 | 71/0 |
| 14 | 6 | 77/0 |
| 15 | 8 | 85/0 |
| 16 | 3 | 88/0 |
| 17 | 3 | 91/0 |
| 18 | 1 | 92/0 |
| 19 | 1 | 93/1 |
| 20 | 0 | 93/1 |
| 21 | 3 | 96/1 |
| 22 | 4 | 100/2 |
| 23 | 2 | 102/3 |
| 24 | 1 | 103/3 |
| 25 | 1 | 104/4 |
| 26 | 1 | 105/5 |
| 27 | 2 | 107/5 |
| 28 | 1 | 108/5 |
| 29 | 3 | 111/5 |
| 30 | 4 | 115/5 |
| 31 | 2 | 117/5 |
| 32 | 6 | 123/5 |
| 33 | 7 | 130/5 |
| 34 | 8 | 138/5 |
| 35 | 1 | 139/5 |
| 36 | 1 | 140/5 |
| 37 | 4 | 144/5 |
| 38 | 4 | 148/5 |
| 39 | 6 | 154/5 |
| 40 | 10 | 164/5 |
| 41 | 4 | 168/5 |
| 42 | 4 | 172/6 |
| 43 | 2 | 174/7 |
| 44 | 2 | 176/7 |
| 45 | 2 | 178/7 |
| 46 | 2 | 180/8 |
| 47 | 9 | 189/8 |
| 48 | 3 | 192/9 |
| 49 | 0 | 192/10 |
Harpreet Singh: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
