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Scotland T20 Tri-Series · 2025 · Men
20 Jun 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Nepal more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Scotland started on 42%; Scotland batted first.
Scotland's chances ranged from 43% to 100% during the match (Nepal: 0% to 57%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kushal Bhurtelcaught · Finlay McCreath · Brandon McMullen1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Finlay McCreath · b Brandon McMullen | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Aasif Sheikhrun out · Christopher McBride · Jack Jarvis 1 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Christopher McBride | 14 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 200.00 |
| B Sharkicaught · Mark Watt · Safyaan Sharif 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mark Watt · b Safyaan Sharif | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 120.00 |
 Rohit Kumarcaught · Chris Greaves · Mark Watt4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chris Greaves · b Mark Watt | 27 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 135.00 |
| bowled · b Safyaan Sharif |
| 5 |
| 5 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
 Dipendra Singh Aireebowled · Chris Greaves1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Chris Greaves | 34 | 33 | 1 | 1 | 103.03 |
|---|
| Lokesh Bamcaught · Finlay McCreath · Michael Leask 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Finlay McCreath · b Michael Leask | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Rupesh Singhnot out 1 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 43* | 22 | 1 | 3 | 195.45 |
|---|
 Sandeep Lamichhanebowled · Chris Greaves0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Chris Greaves | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| R Dhakalcaught · Mark Watt · Chris Greaves 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mark Watt · b Chris Greaves | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Lalit Rajbanshirun out · George Munsey, Brandon McMullen · Brandon McMullen 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · George Munsey, Brandon McMullen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon McMullen0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.5 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 13.41 | 2 | 0 |
 Mark Watt0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Safyaan Sharif0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 3.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Jack Jarvis0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 9.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Chris Greaves0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 3 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Leask0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-4 (Kushal Bhurtel, 0.4) · 2-30 (B Sharki, 3.1) · 3-34 (Aasif Sheikh, 4.1) · 4-40 (Aarif Sheikh, 5.1) · 5-82 (Rohit Kumar, 10.4) · 6-87 (Lokesh Bam, 11.4) · 7-117 (Dipendra Singh Airee, 15.1) · 8-117 (Sandeep Lamichhane, 15.2) · 9-144 (R Dhakal, 17.3) · 10-159 (Lalit Rajbanshi, 18.5)
Recorded target: 194 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 2 | 3 | 8/1 |
| 3 | 22 | 30/1 |
| 4 | 4 | 34/2 |
| 5 | 6 | 40/3 |
| 6 | 3 | 43/4 |
| 7 | 11 | 54/4 |
| 8 | 13 | 67/4 |
| 9 | 8 | 75/4 |
| 10 | 4 | 79/4 |
| 11 | 4 | 83/5 |
| 12 | 6 | 89/6 |
| 13 | 6 | 95/6 |
| 14 | 11 | 106/6 |
| 15 | 11 | 117/6 |
| 16 | 11 | 128/8 |
| 17 | 15 | 143/8 |
| 18 | 5 | 148/9 |
| 19 | 11 | 159/10 |
Mark Watt: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sandeep Lamichhane: Deshsanchar · CC BY 3.0
Rohit Kumar: Cricnepal · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kushal Bhurtel: Kushal Bhurtel · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dipendra Singh Airee: Dipendra Singh Airee · CC BY-SA 4.0
Aarif Sheikh: Nepalese Diaspora · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
