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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier · 2024 · Men
16 Jun 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Portugal started on 52%; Portugal batted first.
Portugal's chances ranged from 49% to 100% during the match (Isle of Man: 0% to 52%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Webstercaught · J Vijay · JAM Henri 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · J Vijay · b JAM Henri | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 220.00 |
| A McAuleycaught · Sirajullah Khadim · Amandeep Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sirajullah Khadim · b Amandeep Singh | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| EF Beardcaught · J Vijay · Amandeep Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · J Vijay · b Amandeep Singh | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| G Burrowscaught · Sirajullah Khadim · Amandeep Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sirajullah Khadim · b Amandeep Singh | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| C Hartmanncaught · J Vijay · Syed Maisam Ali 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · J Vijay · b Syed Maisam Ali | 20 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 125.00 |
| H McAleerbowled · J Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| bowled · b J Khan |
| 14 |
| 22 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 63.64 |
| CJ Langfordbowled · Syed Maisam Ali 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Syed Maisam Ali | 14 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 127.27 |
|---|
| L Wardcaught · JAM Henri · Syed Maisam Ali 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · JAM Henri · b Syed Maisam Ali | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 160.00 |
|---|
| JA Burrowsbowled · Syed Maisam Ali 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Syed Maisam Ali | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| MJ Ansellcaught · Najjam Shahzad · Sirajullah Khadim 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Najjam Shahzad · b Sirajullah Khadim | 12 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 150.00 |
|---|
| K Cawtenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amandeep Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 3 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
| JAM Henri0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 5.67 | 1 | 0 |
| J Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Syed Maisam Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 4.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Sirajullah Khadim0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.5 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 11.45 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (A McAuley, 0.3) · 2-11 (Oliver Webster, 1.4) · 3-12 (EF Beard, 2.1) · 4-15 (G Burrows, 3.0) · 5-48 (C Hartmann, 8.4) · 6-50 (H McAleer, 9.1) · 7-59 (L Ward, 10.2) · 8-61 (JA Burrows, 10.5) · 9-76 (CJ Langford, 12.4) · 10-86 (MJ Ansell, 13.5)
Recorded target: 175 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 11 | 12/2 |
| 3 | 3 | 15/4 |
| 4 | 3 | 18/4 |
| 5 | 12 | 30/4 |
| 6 | 4 | 34/4 |
| 7 | 7 | 41/4 |
| 8 | 4 | 45/4 |
| 9 | 5 | 50/5 |
| 10 | 5 | 55/6 |
| 11 | 6 | 61/8 |
| 12 | 11 | 72/8 |
| 13 | 4 | 76/9 |
| 14 | 10 | 86/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.