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Quadrangular Twenty20 Series (Malaysia) · 2025 · Men
28 Apr 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Saudi Arabia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Saudi Arabia started on 77%; Saudi Arabia batted first.
Saudi Arabia's chances ranged from 68% to 100% during the match (Thailand: 0% to 32%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akshaykumar Yadavcaught · Imtiaz Khan · Waji Ul Hassan 5 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Imtiaz Khan · b Waji Ul Hassan | 74 | 57 | 5 | 4 | 129.82 |
| Chaloemwong Chatphaisancaught · Ishtiaq Ahmad · Zain Ul Abidin 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ishtiaq Ahmad · b Zain Ul Abidin | 18 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 75.00 |
| Austin Lazarusrun out · Manan Ali, Syed Faizan Tahir · Syed Faizan Tahir 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Manan Ali, Syed Faizan Tahir | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
| Y Saranonnakkunbowled · Waji Ul Hassan 0 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Waji Ul Hassan | 20 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 153.85 |
| S Desungnoenrun out · Hisham Sheikh · Waji Ul Hassan 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Hisham Sheikh | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 50.00 |
| N Nuntarachrun out · Imtiaz Khan · Imtiaz Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Imtiaz Khan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Phanuphong Thongsacaught · Ishtiaq Ahmad · Waji Ul Hassan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ishtiaq Ahmad · b Waji Ul Hassan | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| N Salekarbowled · Waji Ul Hassan 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Waji Ul Hassan | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
|---|
| Nopphon Senamontreenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Sarawut Maliwancaught · Ishtiaq Ahmad · Waji Ul Hassan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ishtiaq Ahmad · b Waji Ul Hassan | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| W Ngowhuadnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Imtiaz Khan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 8.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Usman Khalid0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Zain Ul Abidin0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Hisham Sheikh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Syed Faizan Tahir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Faisal Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Waji Ul Hassan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-54 (Chaloemwong Chatphaisan, 9.0) · 2-68 (Austin Lazarus, 11.4) · 3-107 (Akshaykumar Yadav, 15.2) · 4-109 (S Desungnoen, 15.5) · 5-110 (N Nuntarach, 16.2) · 6-121 (Y Saranonnakkun, 17.2) · 7-122 (Phanuphong Thongsa, 17.4) · 8-129 (N Salekar, 19.1) · 9-131 (Sarawut Maliwan, 19.5)
Recorded target: 171 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 16/0 |
| 4 | 7 | 23/0 |
| 5 | 7 | 30/0 |
| 6 | 9 | 39/0 |
| 7 | 1 | 40/0 |
| 8 | 5 | 45/0 |
| 9 | 9 | 54/1 |
| 10 | 4 | 58/1 |
| 11 | 4 | 62/1 |
| 12 | 8 | 70/2 |
| 13 | 11 | 81/2 |
| 14 | 10 | 91/2 |
| 15 | 16 | 107/2 |
| 16 | 3 | 110/4 |
| 17 | 10 | 120/5 |
| 18 | 4 | 124/7 |
| 19 | 5 | 129/7 |
| 20 | 2 | 131/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.