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Quadrangular Twenty20 Series (Malaysia) · 2025 · Men
28 Apr 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Saudi Arabia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Saudi Arabia started on 77%; Saudi Arabia batted first.
Saudi Arabia's chances ranged from 68% to 100% during the match (Thailand: 0% to 32%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdul Waheedcaught · Sarawut Maliwan · Nopphon Senamontree 1 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Sarawut Maliwan · b Nopphon Senamontree | 27 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 158.82 |
| Faisal Khancaught · Austin Lazarus · N Salekar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Austin Lazarus · b N Salekar | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Usman Khalidcaught · A Kalasi · Sarawut Maliwan 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · A Kalasi · b Sarawut Maliwan | 25 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 96.15 |
| Hisham Sheikhretired hurt · Y Saranonnakkun 0 fours · 0 sixes | retired hurt | 17* | 19 | 0 | 0 | 89.47 |
| Zain Ul Abidincaught · Austin Lazarus · S Desungnoen 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Austin Lazarus · b S Desungnoen | 7 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 46.67 |
| Waji Ul Hassannot out 2 fours · 2 sixes |
|---|
| not out |
| 41* |
| 25 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 164.00 |
| Manan Alinot out 1 fours · 5 sixes | not out | 46* | 16 | 1 | 5 | 287.50 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 3 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N Salekar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| W Ngowhuad0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 12.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Nopphon Senamontree0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| S Desungnoen0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 5.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Y Saranonnakkun0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 6.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Sarawut Maliwan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 45 | 1 | 11.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (Faisal Khan, 1.0) · 2-38 (Abdul Waheed, 5.3) · 3-69 (Usman Khalid, 10.3) · 4-90 (Zain Ul Abidin, 14.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 3 | 4/1 |
| 3 | 7 | 11/1 |
| 4 | 13 | 24/1 |
| 5 | 13 | 37/1 |
| 6 | 4 | 41/2 |
| 7 | 7 | 48/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 51/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 56/2 |
| 10 | 11 | 67/2 |
| 11 | 2 | 69/3 |
| 12 | 5 | 74/3 |
| 13 | 7 | 81/3 |
| 14 | 6 | 87/3 |
| 15 | 5 | 92/4 |
| 16 | 9 | 101/4 |
| 17 | 11 | 112/4 |
| 18 | 12 | 124/4 |
| 19 | 26 | 150/4 |
| 20 | 20 | 170/4 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.