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Photo: Ruth Sharville
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
7 Jun 2024 · T20
St Lawrence Ground, Canterbury · Venue photographRecorded result
Somerset started on 60%; Somerset batted first.
Somerset's chances ranged from 1% to 97% during the match (Kent: 3% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zak Crawleycaught · Roelof van der Merwe · Craig Overton0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Roelof van der Merwe · b Craig Overton | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Daniel Bell-Drummondbowled · Craig Overton0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Craig Overton | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
| Tawanda Muyeyecaught · Craig Overton · Sonny Baker 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Craig Overton · b Sonny Baker | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 125.00 |
 Marcus O'Riordancaught · Will Smeed · Jake Ball2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Will Smeed · b Jake Ball |
| 4 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 350.00 |
 Sam Billingscaught · Sean Dickson · Ben Green14 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Sean Dickson · b Ben Green | 106 | 58 | 14 | 2 | 182.76 |
|---|
 Joe Denlycaught · Sonny Baker · Jake Ball0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Sonny Baker · b Jake Ball | 32 | 23 | 0 | 1 | 139.13 |
|---|
 Joey Evisonnot out3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 22* | 13 | 3 | 0 | 169.23 |
|---|
 Grant Stewartnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 2 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Craig Overton1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 27 | 2 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sonny Baker0 maidens · 1 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 44 | 1 | 11.00 | 1 | 2 |
 Jake Ball0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 4.67 | 1 | 0 |
 Lewis Gregory0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 44 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Roelof van der Merwe0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.2 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 15.86 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Green0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Zak Crawley, 0.1) · 2-19 (Daniel Bell-Drummond, 2.5) · 3-23 (Tawanda Muyeye, 3.1) · 4-37 (Marcus O'Riordan, 4.3) · 5-146 (Joe Denly, 14.1) · 6-192 (Sam Billings, 18.5)
Recorded target: 198 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 5 | 6/1 |
| 3 | 17 | 23/2 |
| 4 | 13 | 36/3 |
| 5 | 4 | 40/4 |
| 6 | 10 | 50/4 |
| 7 | 6 | 56/4 |
| 8 | 15 | 71/4 |
| 9 | 19 | 90/4 |
| 10 | 8 | 98/4 |
| 11 | 6 | 104/4 |
| 12 | 16 | 120/4 |
| 13 | 16 | 136/4 |
| 14 | 10 | 146/4 |
| 15 | 4 | 150/5 |
| 16 | 7 | 157/5 |
| 17 | 16 | 173/5 |
| 18 | 15 | 188/5 |
| 19 | 4 | 192/6 |
| 20 | 6 | 198/6 |
Craig Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Roelof van der Merwe: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jake Ball: Dun.can · CC BY 2.0
Sean Dickson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Abell: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matt Parkinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marcus O'Riordan: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joey Evison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Grant Stewart: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Lewis Gregory: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Tom Kohler-Cadmore: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Joe Denly: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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