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ICC Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier · 2024 · Women
25 Apr 2024 · T20
Sheikh Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi · Venue photographRecorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 53%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 0% to 71% during the match (Ireland: 29% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esha Ozacaught · Laura Delany · Alana Dalzell 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Laura Delany · b Alana Dalzell | 15 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 150.00 |
| Theertha Satishstumped · Amy Hunter · Cara Murray 2 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Amy Hunter · b Cara Murray | 22 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 104.76 |
| Khushi Sharmastumped · Amy Hunter · Arlene Kelly 1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Amy Hunter · b Arlene Kelly | 24 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 85.71 |
| Kavisha Egodagerun out · Amy Hunter, Leah Paul · Cara Murray 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Amy Hunter, Leah Paul | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
| Heena Hotchandanicaught · Orla Prendergast · Arlene Kelly 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Orla Prendergast · b Arlene Kelly | 18 | 27 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 66.67 |
| S Dharnidharkacaught · Gaby Lewis · Eimear Richardson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Gaby Lewis · b Eimear Richardson | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| Vaishnave Maheshcaught · Ava Canning · Eimear Richardson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ava Canning · b Eimear Richardson | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Rinitha Rajithrun out · Arlene Kelly, Cara Murray · Cara Murray 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Arlene Kelly, Cara Murray | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Lavanya Kenyrun out · Gaby Lewis · Arlene Kelly 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Gaby Lewis | 8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Mehak Thakurnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Siya Gokhalenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 7 | 0 | 0 | 114.29 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Canning0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 5.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Alana Dalzell0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 11.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Arlene Kelly0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Eimear Richardson1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 3.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Laura Delany0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Cara Murray0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 3.75 | 2 | 0 |
1-20 (Esha Oza, 2.0) · 2-64 (Khushi Sharma, 9.4) · 3-66 (Theertha Satish, 10.1) · 4-73 (Kavisha Egodage, 12.1) · 5-76 (S Dharnidharka, 13.2) · 6-76 (Vaishnave Mahesh, 14.0) · 7-77 (Rinitha Rajith, 14.4) · 8-96 (Lavanya Keny, 18.1) · 9-96 (Heena Hotchandani, 18.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 15 | 20/1 |
| 3 | 4 | 24/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 30/1 |
| 5 | 7 | 37/1 |
| 6 | 7 | 44/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 48/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 53/1 |
| 9 | 8 | 61/1 |
| 10 | 5 | 66/2 |
| 11 | 1 | 67/3 |
| 12 | 3 | 70/3 |
| 13 | 6 | 76/4 |
| 14 | 0 | 76/6 |
| 15 | 1 | 77/7 |
| 16 | 6 | 83/7 |
| 17 | 7 | 90/7 |
| 18 | 6 | 96/7 |
| 19 | 1 | 97/9 |
| 20 | 8 | 105/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.