OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Pakistan tour of Zimbabwe · 2024/25 · Men
28 Nov 2024 · ODI
Recorded result
Pakistan more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Pakistan started on 73%; Pakistan batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saim Ayubcaught · Clive Madande · Faraz Akram 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Clive Madande · b Faraz Akram | 31 | 37 | 3 | 1 | 83.78 |
 Abdullah Shafiquelbw · Sikandar Raza5 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Sikandar Raza | 50 | 68 | 5 | 1 | 73.53 |
| Kamran Ghulamcaught · Clive Madande · Richard Ngarava 10 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Clive Madande · b Richard Ngarava | 103 | 99 | 10 | 4 | 104.04 |
 Mohammad Rizwancaught · Dion Myers · Sikandar Raza4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Dion Myers · b Sikandar Raza | 37 | 47 | 4 | 1 | 78.72 |
Pakistan's chances ranged from 73% to 100% during the match (Zimbabwe: 0% to 27%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · Brian Bennett · b Richard Ngarava |
| 30 |
| 26 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 115.38 |
| Tayyab Tahirnot out 4 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 29* | 16 | 4 | 0 | 181.25 |
|---|
| Irfan Khancaught · Sean Williams · Blessing Muzarabani 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sean Williams · b Blessing Muzarabani | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Aamer Jamalnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 4 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 11 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sikandar Raza0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 47 | 2 | 4.70 | 0 | 0 |
| Richard Ngarava0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 55 | 2 | 5.50 | 1 | 1 |
| Blessing Muzarabani0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 66 | 1 | 6.60 | 4 | 0 |
 Sean Williams0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 43 | 0 | 4.30 | 0 | 0 |
| Faraz Akram0 maidens · 6 wides · 1 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 63 | 1 | 7.88 | 6 | 1 |
| Brian Bennett0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 13.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-58 (Saim Ayub, 12.1) · 2-112 (Abdullah Shafique, 24.0) · 3-201 (Mohammad Rizwan, 39.2) · 4-232 (Kamran Ghulam, 44.3) · 5-273 (Salman Ali Agha, 47.3) · 6-283 (Irfan Khan, 48.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 4/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 9/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 11/0 |
| 5 | 6 | 17/0 |
| 6 | 5 | 22/0 |
| 7 | 7 | 29/0 |
| 8 | 10 | 39/0 |
| 9 | 7 | 46/0 |
| 10 | 3 | 49/0 |
| 11 | 2 | 51/0 |
| 12 | 7 | 58/0 |
| 13 | 4 | 62/1 |
| 14 | 2 | 64/1 |
| 15 | 7 | 71/1 |
| 16 | 1 | 72/1 |
| 17 | 4 | 76/1 |
| 18 | 9 | 85/1 |
| 19 | 5 | 90/1 |
| 20 | 1 | 91/1 |
| 21 | 4 | 95/1 |
| 22 | 5 | 100/1 |
| 23 | 6 | 106/1 |
| 24 | 6 | 112/2 |
| 25 | 1 | 113/2 |
| 26 | 2 | 115/2 |
| 27 | 7 | 122/2 |
| 28 | 6 | 128/2 |
| 29 | 2 | 130/2 |
| 30 | 2 | 132/2 |
| 31 | 10 | 142/2 |
| 32 | 6 | 148/2 |
| 33 | 17 | 165/2 |
| 34 | 4 | 169/2 |
| 35 | 2 | 171/2 |
| 36 | 5 | 176/2 |
| 37 | 6 | 182/2 |
| 38 | 4 | 186/2 |
| 39 | 9 | 195/2 |
| 40 | 6 | 201/3 |
| 41 | 10 | 211/3 |
| 42 | 5 | 216/3 |
| 43 | 6 | 222/3 |
| 44 | 8 | 230/3 |
| 45 | 4 | 234/4 |
| 46 | 23 | 257/4 |
| 47 | 14 | 271/4 |
| 48 | 8 | 279/5 |
| 49 | 10 | 289/6 |
| 50 | 14 | 303/6 |
Mohammad Rizwan: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Haris Rauf: BBC Urdu · CC BY 3.0
Craig Ervine: TheCricketer · CC BY-SA 4.0
Abdullah Shafique: Dave Morton · Public domain
Clive Madande: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sikandar Raza: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Abrar Ahmed: Nazly Ahmed · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sean Williams: Larry D. Moore · CC BY 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
