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Photo: RIDHVAN SHARMA
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
United States of America Women tour of Zimbabwe · 2024/25 · Women
20 Oct 2024 · ODI
Harare Sports Club · Venue photographRecorded result
Zimbabwe more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United States of America started on 38%; United States of America batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modester Mupachikwalbw · AI Chudasama 9 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b AI Chudasama | 77 | 113 | 9 | 0 | 68.14 |
| Sharne Mayerscaught · D Dhingra · AI Chudasama 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · D Dhingra · b AI Chudasama | 14 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 73.68 |
| Chipo Mugericaught · Gargi Bhogle · Geetika Kodali 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Gargi Bhogle · b Geetika Kodali | 38 | 50 | 6 | 0 | 76.00 |
| B Bizastumped · Sindhu Sriharsha · AI Chudasama 4 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Sindhu Sriharsha · b AI Chudasama | 46 | 61 | 4 | 0 | 75.41 |
| Ashley Ndirayanot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 28* | 31 | 3 | 0 | 90.32 |
United States of America's chances ranged from 1% to 74% during the match (Zimbabwe: 26% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| not out |
| 20* |
| 17 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 117.65 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 25 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.0 | 1 | 46 | 0 | 4.60 | 5 | 0 | |
| Geetika Kodali0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.3 | 0 | 49 | 1 | 5.76 | 5 | 0 |
| Isani Vaghela1 maidens · 11 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 64 | 0 | 6.40 | 11 | 0 |
| AI Chudasama1 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 33 | 3 | 3.30 | 3 | 0 |
| Ritu Singh0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 42 | 0 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| S Immadi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-37 (Sharne Mayers, 6.5) · 2-121 (Chipo Mugeri, 24.2) · 3-180 (Modester Mupachikwa, 37.3) · 4-203 (B Biza, 42.0)
Recorded target: 249 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 12/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 22/0 |
| 5 | 3 | 25/0 |
| 6 | 9 | 34/0 |
| 7 | 3 | 37/1 |
| 8 | 7 | 44/1 |
| 9 | 0 | 44/1 |
| 10 | 8 | 52/1 |
| 11 | 3 | 55/1 |
| 12 | 11 | 66/1 |
| 13 | 5 | 71/1 |
| 14 | 3 | 74/1 |
| 15 | 4 | 78/1 |
| 16 | 5 | 83/1 |
| 17 | 1 | 84/1 |
| 18 | 5 | 89/1 |
| 19 | 5 | 94/1 |
| 20 | 5 | 99/1 |
| 21 | 2 | 101/1 |
| 22 | 7 | 108/1 |
| 23 | 4 | 112/1 |
| 24 | 8 | 120/1 |
| 25 | 1 | 121/2 |
| 26 | 2 | 123/2 |
| 27 | 4 | 127/2 |
| 28 | 0 | 127/2 |
| 29 | 3 | 130/2 |
| 30 | 5 | 135/2 |
| 31 | 5 | 140/2 |
| 32 | 10 | 150/2 |
| 33 | 3 | 153/2 |
| 34 | 12 | 165/2 |
| 35 | 5 | 170/2 |
| 36 | 3 | 173/2 |
| 37 | 7 | 180/2 |
| 38 | 4 | 184/3 |
| 39 | 4 | 188/3 |
| 40 | 5 | 193/3 |
| 41 | 9 | 202/3 |
| 42 | 1 | 203/4 |
| 43 | 7 | 210/4 |
| 44 | 8 | 218/4 |
| 45 | 5 | 223/4 |
| 46 | 10 | 233/4 |
| 47 | 6 | 239/4 |
| 48 | 6 | 245/4 |
| 49 | 5 | 250/4 |
Tara Norris: Tukpuki · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sindhu Sriharsha: Hong Kong Cricket · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.