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Photo: HLloyd8
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Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
3 Jun 2025 · T20
Sophia Gardens, Cardiff · Venue photographRecorded result
Surrey started on 52%; Surrey batted first.
Surrey's chances ranged from 7% to 98% during the match (Glamorgan: 2% to 93%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kiran Carlsoncaught · Ollie Pope · Chris Jordan3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ollie Pope · b Chris Jordan | 31 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 134.78 |
| William Smalecaught · Jason Roy · Nathan Smith 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jason Roy · b Nathan Smith | 26 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 96.30 |
| BI Kellawaycaught · Jason Roy · Yousef Majid 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jason Roy · b Yousef Majid | 13 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 185.71 |
| Colin Ingramcaught · Ollie Sykes · Nathan Smith 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ollie Sykes · b Nathan Smith | 10 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 76.92 |
 |
| caught · Nathan Smith · b Sam Curran |
| 10 |
| 14 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 71.43 |
| Asa Tribebowled · Chris Jordan 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Chris Jordan | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Daniel Douthwaitecaught · Chris Jordan · Sam Curran 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Chris Jordan · b Sam Curran | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 116.67 |
|---|
 Hayden Kerrcaught · Chris Jordan · Sam Curran1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chris Jordan · b Sam Curran | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 128.57 |
|---|
 Timm van der Gugtencaught · Laurie Evans · Chris Jordan1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Laurie Evans · b Chris Jordan | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
|---|
 Mason Cranecaught · Ollie Pope · Tom Curran1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ollie Pope · b Tom Curran | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Andy Gorvinnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 125.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Worrall0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 5.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Tom Curran0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 8.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Nathan Smith0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Sam Curran0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 4.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Yousef Majid0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Chris Jordan0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 7.75 | 2 | 0 |
1-58 (Kiran Carlson, 7.2) · 2-73 (BI Kellaway, 9.0) · 3-82 (William Smale, 10.4) · 4-87 (Colin Ingram, 12.4) · 5-93 (Asa Tribe, 13.3) · 6-113 (Daniel Douthwaite, 16.2) · 7-114 (Chris Cooke, 16.5) · 8-125 (Timm van der Gugten, 18.0) · 9-127 (Hayden Kerr, 18.2) · 10-142 (Mason Crane, 20.0)
Recorded target: 150 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 12 | 17/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 25/0 |
| 4 | 11 | 36/0 |
| 5 | 6 | 42/0 |
| 6 | 5 | 47/0 |
| 7 | 11 | 58/0 |
| 8 | 8 | 66/1 |
| 9 | 7 | 73/2 |
| 10 | 2 | 75/2 |
| 11 | 7 | 82/3 |
| 12 | 3 | 85/3 |
| 13 | 4 | 89/4 |
| 14 | 6 | 95/5 |
| 15 | 11 | 106/5 |
| 16 | 6 | 112/5 |
| 17 | 2 | 114/7 |
| 18 | 11 | 125/8 |
| 19 | 10 | 135/9 |
| 20 | 7 | 142/10 |
Mason Crane: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Kiran Carlson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hayden Kerr: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Cooke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Dominic Sibley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Timm van der Gugten: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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