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Photo: HLloyd8
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
3 Jun 2025 · T20
Sophia Gardens, Cardiff · Venue photographRecorded result
Surrey started on 52%; Surrey batted first.
Surrey's chances ranged from 7% to 98% during the match (Glamorgan: 2% to 93%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ollie Popecaught · Andy Gorvin · Daniel Douthwaite0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Andy Gorvin · b Daniel Douthwaite | 9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 150.00 |
 Dominic Sibleycaught · Andy Gorvin · BI Kellaway2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Andy Gorvin · b BI Kellaway | 26 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 96.30 |
 Jason Roycaught · Timm van der Gugten2 fours · 4 sixes | caught · b Timm van der Gugten | 69 | 47 | 2 | 4 | 146.81 |
 Sam Currancaught · Asa Tribe · Andy Gorvin0 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Asa Tribe · b Andy Gorvin |
| 7 |
| 9 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 77.78 |
| Laurie Evanscaught · Asa Tribe · Andy Gorvin 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Asa Tribe · b Andy Gorvin | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Tom Currancaught · Mason Crane · Daniel Douthwaite0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mason Crane · b Daniel Douthwaite | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Ollie Sykescaught · Kiran Carlson · Daniel Douthwaite 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kiran Carlson · b Daniel Douthwaite | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 111.11 |
|---|
 Chris Jordanrun out · Andy Gorvin · Andy Gorvin0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Andy Gorvin | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Nathan Smithnot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 10* | 6 | 0 | 1 | 166.67 |
|---|
| Daniel Worrallnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Timm van der Gugten0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Hayden Kerr0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Daniel Douthwaite0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 3 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Mason Crane0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 8.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Andy Gorvin0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| BI Kellaway0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-21 (Ollie Pope, 3.4) · 2-58 (Dominic Sibley, 8.2) · 3-84 (Sam Curran, 11.3) · 4-86 (Laurie Evans, 12.0) · 5-112 (Tom Curran, 15.4) · 6-133 (Jason Roy, 17.5) · 7-135 (Chris Jordan, 18.2) · 8-144 (Ollie Sykes, 19.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 19/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 23/1 |
| 5 | 11 | 34/1 |
| 6 | 10 | 44/1 |
| 7 | 8 | 52/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 57/1 |
| 9 | 5 | 62/2 |
| 10 | 5 | 67/2 |
| 11 | 10 | 77/2 |
| 12 | 9 | 86/4 |
| 13 | 6 | 92/4 |
| 14 | 8 | 100/4 |
| 15 | 5 | 105/4 |
| 16 | 10 | 115/5 |
| 17 | 11 | 126/5 |
| 18 | 8 | 134/6 |
| 19 | 10 | 144/7 |
| 20 | 5 | 149/8 |
Mason Crane: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Kiran Carlson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hayden Kerr: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Cooke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Dominic Sibley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Timm van der Gugten: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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