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Photo: Mnnngchris at English Wikipedia
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
12 Jul 2026 · T20
The County Ground, Derby · Venue photographRecorded result
Leicestershire started on 47%; Leicestershire batted first.
Leicestershire's chances ranged from 0% to 49% during the match (Derbyshire: 52% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aneurin Donaldcaught · Ruan de Swardt · Rehan Ahmed7 fours · 7 sixes | caught · Ruan de Swardt · b Rehan Ahmed | 91 | 38 | 7 | 7 | 239.47 |
| Martin Anderssoncaught · Joey Evison · Josh Davey 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Joey Evison · b Josh Davey | 16 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 123.08 |
 Harry Camenot out2 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 45* | 28 | 2 | 2 | 160.71 |
 Wayne Madsenbowled · Rehan Ahmed0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Rehan Ahmed | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Matthew Montgomerynot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 12* | 6 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 2 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Josh Davey0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Hull0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 20.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Alex Green0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 10.50 | 1 | 1 |
| Ruan de Swardt0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Green0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 15.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Rehan Ahmed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 46 | 2 | 11.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Ashton Turner0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.3 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 8.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-56 (Martin Andersson, 4.2) · 2-146 (Aneurin Donald, 12.0) · 3-154 (Wayne Madsen, 13.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 20 | 32/0 |
| 3 | 11 | 43/0 |
| 4 | 12 | 55/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 60/1 |
| 6 | 9 | 69/1 |
| 7 | 11 | 80/1 |
| 8 | 22 | 102/1 |
| 9 | 5 | 107/1 |
| 10 | 9 | 116/1 |
| 11 | 12 | 128/1 |
| 12 | 18 | 146/2 |
| 13 | 8 | 154/2 |
| 14 | 13 | 167/3 |
| 15 | 5 | 172/3 |
Ross Whiteley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Aneurin Donald: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Cox: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Josh Davey: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rehan Ahmed: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Green: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Came: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Joey Evison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jack Morley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Wayne Madsen: Parklands cobbler · CC BY 3.0
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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