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Photo: Mnnngchris at English Wikipedia
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Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
12 Jul 2026 · T20
The County Ground, Derby · Venue photographRecorded result
Leicestershire started on 47%; Leicestershire batted first.
Leicestershire's chances ranged from 0% to 49% during the match (Derbyshire: 52% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Eskinazicaught · Wayne Madsen · Matthew Montgomery 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Wayne Madsen · b Matthew Montgomery | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Ben Greenstumped · Aneurin Donald · Sufyan Moqeem 4 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Aneurin Donald · b Sufyan Moqeem | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 117.24 |
 Rehan Ahmedcaught · Wayne Madsen · Matthew Montgomery0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Wayne Madsen · b Matthew Montgomery | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| Rishi Patelcaught · Aneurin Donald · Akif Javed 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aneurin Donald · b Akif Javed | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
 |
| caught · Ross Whiteley · b Akif Javed |
| 79 |
| 43 |
| 6 |
| 3 |
| 183.72 |
 Ben Coxbowled · Akif Javed0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Akif Javed | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Ruan de Swardtlbw · Matthew Montgomery 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Matthew Montgomery | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Joey Evisonnot out2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 26* | 19 | 2 | 0 | 136.84 |
|---|
 Josh Daveycaught · Harry Came · Akif Javed1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harry Came · b Akif Javed | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 225.00 |
|---|
| Josh Hullnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Montgomery0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 3 | 6.50 | 2 | 0 |
 Jack Morley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 8.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Potts0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 11.33 | 3 | 0 |
| Akif Javed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 4 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Sufyan Moqeem0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 1 | 10.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Martin Andersson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-12 (Stephen Eskinazi, 2.1) · 2-30 (Rehan Ahmed, 4.2) · 3-37 (Rishi Patel, 5.1) · 4-59 (Ben Green, 8.4) · 5-80 (Ben Cox, 11.2) · 6-92 (Ruan de Swardt, 12.4) · 7-151 (Ashton Turner, 18.0) · 8-166 (Josh Davey, 19.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 14/1 |
| 4 | 14 | 28/1 |
| 5 | 9 | 37/2 |
| 6 | 2 | 39/3 |
| 7 | 7 | 46/3 |
| 8 | 7 | 53/3 |
| 9 | 8 | 61/4 |
| 10 | 10 | 71/4 |
| 11 | 8 | 79/4 |
| 12 | 5 | 84/5 |
| 13 | 10 | 94/6 |
| 14 | 11 | 105/6 |
| 15 | 7 | 112/6 |
| 16 | 6 | 118/6 |
| 17 | 22 | 140/6 |
| 18 | 11 | 151/7 |
| 19 | 14 | 165/7 |
| 20 | 6 | 171/8 |
Ross Whiteley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Aneurin Donald: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Cox: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Josh Davey: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rehan Ahmed: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Green: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Came: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Joey Evison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jack Morley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Wayne Madsen: Parklands cobbler · CC BY 3.0
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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