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Bangladesh tour of Sri Lanka · 2025 · Men
17 Jun 2025 · Test
Galle International Stadium · Venue photographSri Lanka more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shadman Islamlbw · Milan Priyanath 7 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Milan Priyanath | 76 | 126 | 7 | 0 | 60.32 |
 Anamul Haquecaught · Kusal Mendis · Prabath Jayasuriya0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kusal Mendis · b Prabath Jayasuriya | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
 Mominul Haquecaught · Lahiru Udara · Tharindu Ratnayake0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Lahiru Udara · b Tharindu Ratnayake | 14 | 40 | 0 | 1 | 35.00 |
 |
| not out |
| 125* |
| 199 |
| 9 |
| 3 |
| 62.81 |
 Mushfiqur Rahimrun out · Tharindu Ratnayake · Prabath Jayasuriya4 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Tharindu Ratnayake | 49 | 102 | 4 | 0 | 48.04 |
|---|
 Litton Dasbowled · Tharindu Ratnayake0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Tharindu Ratnayake | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
 Jaker Alistumped · Kusal Mendis · Tharindu Ratnayake0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Kusal Mendis · b Tharindu Ratnayake | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
|---|
 Nayeem Hasannot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 23 | 0 | 0 | 30.43 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asitha Fernando0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 3.88 | 0 | 0 |
| Prabath Jayasuriya3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 29.0 | 3 | 92 | 1 | 3.17 | 0 | 0 |
| Tharindu Ratnayake1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 29.0 | 1 | 102 | 3 | 3.52 | 0 | 0 |
| Milan Priyanath4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 12.0 | 4 | 26 | 1 | 2.17 | 0 | 0 |
| Dhananjaya de Silva0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 3.38 | 0 | 0 |
| Kamindu Mendis0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-24 (Anamul Haque, 7.5) · 2-60 (Mominul Haque, 20.0) · 3-128 (Shadman Islam, 44.1) · 4-237 (Mushfiqur Rahim, 76.0) · 5-241 (Litton Das, 77.0) · 6-249 (Jaker Ali, 79.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 2/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 6/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 8/0 |
| 5 | 3 | 11/0 |
| 6 | 2 | 13/0 |
| 7 | 9 | 22/0 |
| 8 | 2 | 24/1 |
| 9 | 3 | 27/1 |
| 10 | 1 | 28/1 |
| 11 | 3 | 31/1 |
| 12 | 4 | 35/1 |
| 13 | 9 | 44/1 |
| 14 | 0 | 44/1 |
| 15 | 1 | 45/1 |
| 16 | 1 | 46/1 |
| 17 | 6 | 52/1 |
| 18 | 2 | 54/1 |
| 19 | 5 | 59/1 |
| 20 | 1 | 60/2 |
| 21 | 3 | 63/2 |
| 22 | 2 | 65/2 |
| 23 | 8 | 73/2 |
| 24 | 2 | 75/2 |
| 25 | 3 | 78/2 |
| 26 | 10 | 88/2 |
| 27 | 3 | 91/2 |
| 28 | 2 | 93/2 |
| 29 | 0 | 93/2 |
| 30 | 2 | 95/2 |
| 31 | 4 | 99/2 |
| 32 | 2 | 101/2 |
| 33 | 2 | 103/2 |
| 34 | 2 | 105/2 |
| 35 | 2 | 107/2 |
| 36 | 5 | 112/2 |
| 37 | 3 | 115/2 |
| 38 | 1 | 116/2 |
| 39 | 1 | 117/2 |
| 40 | 3 | 120/2 |
| 41 | 0 | 120/2 |
| 42 | 4 | 124/2 |
| 43 | 0 | 124/2 |
| 44 | 4 | 128/2 |
| 45 | 4 | 132/3 |
| 46 | 3 | 135/3 |
| 47 | 4 | 139/3 |
| 48 | 3 | 142/3 |
| 49 | 3 | 145/3 |
| 50 | 3 | 148/3 |
| 51 | 3 | 151/3 |
| 52 | 6 | 157/3 |
| 53 | 1 | 158/3 |
| 54 | 1 | 159/3 |
| 55 | 6 | 165/3 |
| 56 | 10 | 175/3 |
| 57 | 2 | 177/3 |
| 58 | 4 | 181/3 |
| 59 | 5 | 186/3 |
| 60 | 1 | 187/3 |
| 61 | 4 | 191/3 |
| 62 | 1 | 192/3 |
| 63 | 4 | 196/3 |
| 64 | 5 | 201/3 |
| 65 | 0 | 201/3 |
| 66 | 5 | 206/3 |
| 67 | 2 | 208/3 |
| 68 | 2 | 210/3 |
| 69 | 5 | 215/3 |
| 70 | 5 | 220/3 |
| 71 | 7 | 227/3 |
| 72 | 1 | 228/3 |
| 73 | 2 | 230/3 |
| 74 | 3 | 233/3 |
| 75 | 2 | 235/3 |
| 76 | 2 | 237/4 |
| 77 | 4 | 241/5 |
| 78 | 3 | 244/5 |
| 79 | 5 | 249/6 |
| 80 | 0 | 249/6 |
| 81 | 3 | 252/6 |
| 82 | 1 | 253/6 |
| 83 | 3 | 256/6 |
| 84 | 0 | 256/6 |
| 85 | 3 | 259/6 |
| 86 | 17 | 276/6 |
| 87 | 9 | 285/6 |
Nahid Rana: Press Information Department · Public domain
Angelo Mathews: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Jaker Ali: Press Information Department · Public domain
Hasan Mahmud: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mominul Haque: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Taijul Islam: Press Information Department · Public domain
Dinesh Chandimal: Amal316 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Anamul Haque: Pro-Vc AIUB · CC BY 4.0
Litton Das: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Najmul Hossain Shanto: Rocky Masum · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nayeem Hasan: IqbalHossain · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mushfiqur Rahim: Rasi56 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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