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Photo: Mattinbgn ( talk · contribs )
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Women's Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Women
26 Nov 2025 · T20
Junction Oval, Melbourne · Venue photographRecorded result
Melbourne Stars started on 44%; Melbourne Stars batted first.
Melbourne Stars's chances ranged from 40% to 100% during the match (Hobart Hurricanes: 1% to 60%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lizelle Leebowled · Marizanne Kapp0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Marizanne Kapp | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Danielle Wyattbowled · Marizanne Kapp0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Marizanne Kapp | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
 Nat Sciver-Bruntbowled · Annabel Sutherland5 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Annabel Sutherland | 27 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 128.57 |
 Nicola Careycaught · Marizanne Kapp · Rhys McKenna2 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Marizanne Kapp · b Rhys McKenna |
| 18 |
| 18 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
 Heather Grahamcaught · Georgia Prestwidge · Sophie Day0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Georgia Prestwidge · b Sophie Day | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
|---|
 Elyse Villanibowled · Annabel Sutherland3 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Annabel Sutherland | 38 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 180.95 |
|---|
| Rachel Trenamancaught · Georgia Prestwidge · Kim Garth 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Georgia Prestwidge · b Kim Garth | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 166.67 |
|---|
 Hayley Silver-Holmesbowled · Sophie Day2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sophie Day | 18 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 128.57 |
|---|
 Molly Stranostumped · Amy Jones · Sophie Day0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Amy Jones · b Sophie Day | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
 Lauren Smithnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Linsey Smithcaught · Georgia Prestwidge · Sophie Day 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Georgia Prestwidge · b Sophie Day | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Marizanne Kapp0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Kim Garth0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 6.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Sophie Day0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.2 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 5.10 | 0 | 0 |
 Maisy Gibson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Annabel Sutherland0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 8.67 | 1 | 0 |
 Rhys McKenna0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-0 (Lizelle Lee, 0.1) · 2-13 (Danielle Wyatt, 2.3) · 3-46 (Nat Sciver-Brunt, 7.1) · 4-47 (Heather Graham, 8.1) · 5-53 (Nicola Carey, 9.5) · 6-59 (Rachel Trenaman, 10.2) · 7-99 (Hayley Silver-Holmes, 14.2) · 8-101 (Molly Strano, 15.0) · 9-113 (Elyse Villani, 15.5) · 10-114 (Linsey Smith, 16.2)
Recorded target: 152 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/1 |
| 2 | 5 | 13/1 |
| 3 | 4 | 17/2 |
| 4 | 9 | 26/2 |
| 5 | 10 | 36/2 |
| 6 | 4 | 40/2 |
| 7 | 5 | 45/2 |
| 8 | 2 | 47/3 |
| 9 | 4 | 51/4 |
| 10 | 4 | 55/5 |
| 11 | 6 | 61/6 |
| 12 | 12 | 73/6 |
| 13 | 13 | 86/6 |
| 14 | 13 | 99/6 |
| 15 | 2 | 101/8 |
| 16 | 12 | 113/9 |
| 17 | 1 | 114/10 |
Lauren Smith: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marizanne Kapp: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Amy Jones: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Meg Lanning: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophie Day: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Danielle Gibson: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hayley Silver-Holmes: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Maisy Gibson: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nat Sciver-Brunt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Molly Strano: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sasha Moloney: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kim Garth: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Elyse Villani: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lizelle Lee: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rhys McKenna: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Annabel Sutherland: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nicola Carey: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Danielle Wyatt: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Heather Graham: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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