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Women's Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Women
26 Nov 2025 · T20
Junction Oval, Melbourne · Venue photographRecorded result
Melbourne Stars started on 44%; Melbourne Stars batted first.
Melbourne Stars's chances ranged from 40% to 100% during the match (Hobart Hurricanes: 1% to 60%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Meg Lanningcaught · Rachel Trenaman · Nicola Carey3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rachel Trenaman · b Nicola Carey | 26 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 100.00 |
 Rhys McKennabowled · Hayley Silver-Holmes1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Hayley Silver-Holmes | 7 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 58.33 |
 Amy Jonescaught · Lauren Smith · Linsey Smith6 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Lauren Smith · b Linsey Smith | 59 | 40 | 6 | 1 | 147.50 |
 Annabel Sutherland |
| bowled · b Nat Sciver-Brunt |
| 2 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 40.00 |
 Marizanne Kappcaught · Nat Sciver-Brunt · Lauren Smith0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nat Sciver-Brunt · b Lauren Smith | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
 Danielle Gibsoncaught · Linsey Smith · Nicola Carey5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Linsey Smith · b Nicola Carey | 39 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 144.44 |
|---|
 Kim Garthnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 2 | 1 | 0 | 250.00 |
|---|
 Sasha Moloneynot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linsey Smith0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 1 | 0 |
 Hayley Silver-Holmes0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 5.50 | 3 | 0 |
 Nicola Carey0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Heather Graham0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 7.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Molly Strano0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Nat Sciver-Brunt0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 8.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Lauren Smith0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-22 (Rhys McKenna, 3.4) · 2-74 (Meg Lanning, 10.2) · 3-83 (Annabel Sutherland, 11.4) · 4-91 (Marizanne Kapp, 13.3) · 5-135 (Amy Jones, 18.1) · 6-145 (Danielle Gibson, 19.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 15/0 |
| 4 | 8 | 23/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 31/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 37/1 |
| 7 | 13 | 50/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 55/1 |
| 9 | 8 | 63/1 |
| 10 | 11 | 74/1 |
| 11 | 7 | 81/2 |
| 12 | 2 | 83/3 |
| 13 | 5 | 88/3 |
| 14 | 8 | 96/4 |
| 15 | 7 | 103/4 |
| 16 | 10 | 113/4 |
| 17 | 10 | 123/4 |
| 18 | 12 | 135/4 |
| 19 | 10 | 145/5 |
| 20 | 6 | 151/6 |
Lauren Smith: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marizanne Kapp: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Amy Jones: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Meg Lanning: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophie Day: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Danielle Gibson: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hayley Silver-Holmes: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Maisy Gibson: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nat Sciver-Brunt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Molly Strano: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sasha Moloney: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kim Garth: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Elyse Villani: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lizelle Lee: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rhys McKenna: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Annabel Sutherland: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nicola Carey: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Danielle Wyatt: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Heather Graham: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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