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Quadrangular Twenty20 Series (Malaysia) · 2025 · Men
24 Apr 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Saudi Arabia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Saudi Arabia started on 67%; Saudi Arabia batted first.
Saudi Arabia's chances ranged from 66% to 100% during the match (Thailand: 0% to 34%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akshaykumar Yadavbowled · Ishtiaq Ahmad 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ishtiaq Ahmad | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Chaloemwong Chatphaisancaught · Abdul Waheed · Ishtiaq Ahmad 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Abdul Waheed · b Ishtiaq Ahmad | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| N Salekarbowled · Usman Khalid 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Usman Khalid | 13 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Austin Lazaruscaught · Abdul Waheed · Hisham Sheikh 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Abdul Waheed · b Hisham Sheikh | 33 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 113.79 |
| S Desungnoencaught · Waji Ul Hassan · Zain Ul Abidin 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Waji Ul Hassan · b Zain Ul Abidin | 10 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 52.63 |
| S Rungrueangcaught · Syed Faizan Tahir · Hisham Sheikh 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| caught · Syed Faizan Tahir · b Hisham Sheikh |
| 9 |
| 10 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 90.00 |
| N Nuntarachcaught · Manan Ali · Zain Ul Abidin 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Manan Ali · b Zain Ul Abidin | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Phanuphong Thongsacaught · Usman Khalid · Hisham Sheikh 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Usman Khalid · b Hisham Sheikh | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Nopphon Senamontreecaught · Syed Faizan Tahir · Hisham Sheikh 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Syed Faizan Tahir · b Hisham Sheikh | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Sarawut Maliwancaught · Waji Ul Hassan · Zain Ul Abidin 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Waji Ul Hassan · b Zain Ul Abidin | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| W Ngowhuadnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ishtiaq Ahmad0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 7.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Usman Najeeb0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Usman Khalid0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Imtiaz Khan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Hisham Sheikh0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.1 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 4.74 | 1 | 0 |
| Zain Ul Abidin0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 4.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-5 (Chaloemwong Chatphaisan, 0.4) · 2-13 (Akshaykumar Yadav, 2.2) · 3-35 (N Salekar, 5.5) · 4-70 (S Desungnoen, 11.4) · 5-74 (Austin Lazarus, 12.2) · 6-77 (N Nuntarach, 13.2) · 7-80 (Phanuphong Thongsa, 14.1) · 8-83 (Nopphon Senamontree, 14.4) · 9-90 (Sarawut Maliwan, 15.5) · 10-90 (S Rungrueang, 16.1)
Recorded target: 157 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/1 |
| 2 | 5 | 12/1 |
| 3 | 1 | 13/2 |
| 4 | 5 | 18/2 |
| 5 | 15 | 33/2 |
| 6 | 6 | 39/3 |
| 7 | 9 | 48/3 |
| 8 | 4 | 52/3 |
| 9 | 6 | 58/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 62/3 |
| 11 | 6 | 68/3 |
| 12 | 5 | 73/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 77/5 |
| 14 | 3 | 80/6 |
| 15 | 5 | 85/8 |
| 16 | 5 | 90/9 |
| 17 | 0 | 90/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.