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Photo: RIDHVAN SHARMA
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Ireland Women tour of Zimbabwe · 2023/24 · Women
28 Jan 2024 · T20
Harare Sports Club · Venue photographRecorded result
Zimbabwe more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Ireland started on 38%; Ireland batted first.
Ireland's chances ranged from 35% to 100% during the match (Zimbabwe: 0% to 65%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelis Ndhlovucaught · Cara Murray · Laura Delany 4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Cara Murray · b Laura Delany | 52 | 41 | 4 | 2 | 126.83 |
| Mary-Anne Musondacaught · Amy Hunter · Ava Canning 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Amy Hunter · b Ava Canning | 17 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Pellagia Mujajirun out · Amy Hunter, Georgina Dempsey · Arlene Kelly 3 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Amy Hunter, Georgina Dempsey | 31 | 31 | 3 | 1 | 100.00 |
| Chiedza Dhururubowled · Laura Delany 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Laura Delany | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Loren Tshumabowled · Laura Delany 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Laura Delany | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| bowled · b Cara Murray |
| 3 |
| 10 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 30.00 |
 Precious Marangenot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 9 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| C Mutasacaught · Gaby Lewis · Cara Murray 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Gaby Lewis · b Cara Murray | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Nomvelo Sibandacaught · Arlene Kelly · Laura Delany 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Arlene Kelly · b Laura Delany | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| L Mabheronot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 6 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 10 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FA Sargent0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 6.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Alana Dalzell0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 3.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Ava Canning0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Cara Murray0 maidens · 4 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 6.75 | 4 | 1 |
| Arlene Kelly0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Laura Delany0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 3.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Georgina Dempsey0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 17.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-34 (Mary-Anne Musonda, 5.0) · 2-88 (Pellagia Mujaji, 12.3) · 3-91 (Chiedza Dhururu, 13.2) · 4-92 (Loren Tshuma, 13.5) · 5-113 (Kelis Ndhlovu, 16.0) · 6-122 (Nyasha Gwanzura, 18.1) · 7-124 (C Mutasa, 18.3) · 8-127 (Nomvelo Sibanda, 19.3)
Recorded target: 173 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 16/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 24/0 |
| 4 | 3 | 27/0 |
| 5 | 7 | 34/1 |
| 6 | 1 | 35/1 |
| 7 | 13 | 48/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 51/1 |
| 9 | 7 | 58/1 |
| 10 | 9 | 67/1 |
| 11 | 3 | 70/1 |
| 12 | 7 | 77/1 |
| 13 | 13 | 90/2 |
| 14 | 2 | 92/4 |
| 15 | 17 | 109/4 |
| 16 | 4 | 113/5 |
| 17 | 3 | 116/5 |
| 18 | 6 | 122/5 |
| 19 | 4 | 126/7 |
| 20 | 4 | 130/8 |
Precious Marange: Foreign and Commonwealth Office · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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