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Sweden tour of Indonesia · 2026 · Men
11 Apr 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Sweden more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Indonesia started on 24%; Indonesia batted first.
Indonesia's chances ranged from 1% to 73% during the match (Sweden: 27% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Imal Zuwakstumped · Dharma Kesuma · Sudhakar Jegannathan 1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Dharma Kesuma · b Sudhakar Jegannathan | 12 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
| A Mundracaught · Gede Arta · Sudhakar Jegannathan 10 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Gede Arta · b Sudhakar Jegannathan | 74 | 36 | 10 | 3 | 205.56 |
| Zaid Ahmadstumped · Dharma Kesuma · Gede Arta 2 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Dharma Kesuma · b Gede Arta | 22 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 122.22 |
| Saeed Ahmed (2)caught · Dhanesh Shetty · Gede Arta 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dhanesh Shetty · b Gede Arta | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
| YS Chauhanrun out · Kadek Gamantika · Kadek Gamantika 1 fours · 2 sixes | run out · Kadek Gamantika | 26 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 200.00 |
| W Boshoffnot out 0 fours · 1 sixes |
|---|
| not out |
| 20* |
| 19 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 105.26 |
| DB Lakhaninot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 5 | 1 | 0 | 140.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danilson Hawoe0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 12.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Gaurav Tiwari0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Dhanesh Shetty0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 17.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sudhakar Jegannathan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 8.33 | 1 | 0 |
| F Banunaek0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Kadek Gamantika0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 6.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Gede Arta0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 1 | 0 |
1-66 (Imal Zuwak, 6.1) · 2-104 (Zaid Ahmad, 10.5) · 3-112 (Saeed Ahmed (2), 12.3) · 4-114 (A Mundra, 13.1) · 5-149 (YS Chauhan, 17.3)
Recorded target: 166 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 16/0 |
| 3 | 15 | 31/0 |
| 4 | 11 | 42/0 |
| 5 | 17 | 59/0 |
| 6 | 7 | 66/0 |
| 7 | 10 | 76/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 81/1 |
| 9 | 12 | 93/1 |
| 10 | 6 | 99/1 |
| 11 | 6 | 105/2 |
| 12 | 7 | 112/2 |
| 13 | 2 | 114/3 |
| 14 | 2 | 116/4 |
| 15 | 6 | 122/4 |
| 16 | 13 | 135/4 |
| 17 | 11 | 146/4 |
| 18 | 7 | 153/5 |
| 19 | 13 | 166/5 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.