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Photo: HLloyd8
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
13 Jul 2025 · T20
Sophia Gardens, Cardiff · Venue photographRecorded result
Gloucestershire started on 45%; Gloucestershire batted first.
Gloucestershire's chances ranged from 28% to 100% during the match (Glamorgan: 0% to 72%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kiran Carlsoncaught · Graeme van Buuren · David Payne1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Graeme van Buuren · b David Payne | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 116.67 |
| William Smalecaught · David Payne · Marchant de Lange 4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · David Payne · b Marchant de Lange | 43 | 27 | 4 | 2 | 159.26 |
| Alex Hortoncaught · David Payne · Marchant de Lange 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · David Payne · b Marchant de Lange | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
| BI Kellawaycaught · Graeme van Buuren · Marchant de Lange 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Graeme van Buuren · b Marchant de Lange | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Colin Ingramcaught · Miles Hammond · Ajeet Dale4 fours · 1 sixes |
| caught · Miles Hammond · b Ajeet Dale |
| 30 |
| 17 |
| 4 |
| 1 |
| 176.47 |
| Asa Tribecaught · Cameron Bancroft · Ben Charlesworth 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Cameron Bancroft · b Ben Charlesworth | 16 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 94.12 |
|---|
| Daniel Douthwaitecaught · Marchant de Lange · Ajeet Dale 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Marchant de Lange · b Ajeet Dale | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Imad Wasimcaught · David Payne1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · b David Payne | 13 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 118.18 |
|---|
 Timm van der Gugtenbowled · David Payne0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b David Payne | 10 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 76.92 |
|---|
 Ned Leonardbowled · Marchant de Lange0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Marchant de Lange | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
 Mason Cranenot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Payne0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.1 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 5.05 | 0 | 0 |
 Josh Shaw0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Ajeet Dale0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Marchant de Lange0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 4 | 5.00 | 2 | 0 |
 Ben Charlesworth0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Graeme van Buuren0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-26 (Kiran Carlson, 2.4) · 2-53 (Alex Horton, 5.1) · 3-53 (BI Kellaway, 5.2) · 4-66 (William Smale, 7.4) · 5-93 (Colin Ingram, 11.0) · 6-106 (Asa Tribe, 12.3) · 7-114 (Daniel Douthwaite, 13.5) · 8-130 (Imad Wasim, 16.2) · 9-135 (Ned Leonard, 18.0) · 10-135 (Timm van der Gugten, 18.1)
Recorded target: 176 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 13 | 19/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 28/1 |
| 4 | 14 | 42/1 |
| 5 | 11 | 53/1 |
| 6 | 8 | 61/3 |
| 7 | 3 | 64/3 |
| 8 | 5 | 69/4 |
| 9 | 8 | 77/4 |
| 10 | 4 | 81/4 |
| 11 | 12 | 93/5 |
| 12 | 10 | 103/5 |
| 13 | 7 | 110/6 |
| 14 | 4 | 114/7 |
| 15 | 6 | 120/7 |
| 16 | 9 | 129/7 |
| 17 | 3 | 132/8 |
| 18 | 3 | 135/9 |
| 19 | 0 | 135/10 |
Ajeet Dale: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mason Crane: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Ben Charlesworth: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kiran Carlson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ned Leonard: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marchant de Lange: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
D'Arcy Short: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Graeme van Buuren: Dave Morton · Public domain
Miles Hammond: Dave Morton · Public domain
Josh Shaw: Dave Morton · Public domain
Timm van der Gugten: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Price: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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